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J1 League · Regular Season - 9

JEF United Chiba 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba crestJEF United ChibaTeam 1449
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
V-varen Nagasaki crestV-varen NagasakiTeam 1557

Match story

JEF United Chiba · draw · V-varen Nagasaki

Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%

Live chances: JEF United Chiba 0%, draw 100%, V-varen Nagasaki 0% at 90+9'1' · 0–0 · JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 29%, V-varen Nagasaki 39%2' · 0–0 · JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 29%, V-varen Nagasaki 39%3' · 0–0 · JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 29%, V-varen Nagasaki 39%4' · 0–0 · JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 29%, V-varen Nagasaki 39%5' · 0–0 · JEF United Chiba 32%, draw 29%, V-varen Nagasaki 38%6' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 60%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 17%7' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%8' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%9' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%10' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%11' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%12' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%13' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 16%14' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%15' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 61%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%16' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%17' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%18' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%19' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%20' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 15%21' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%22' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%23' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 62%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%24' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%25' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%26' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%27' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%28' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 13%29' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 13%30' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 63%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 13%31' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 13%32' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 13%33' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%34' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%35' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%36' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 64%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%37' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 65%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%38' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 65%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 12%39' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 65%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 11%40' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 65%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 11%41' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 65%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 11%42' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 66%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 11%43' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 66%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 11%44' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 66%, draw 24%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%45' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 66%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%45+1' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 66%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%45+2' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 67%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%45+3' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 67%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%HT · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 67%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 10%46' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 67%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 9%47' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 67%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 9%48' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 68%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 9%49' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 68%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 9%50' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 68%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 9%51' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 69%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 8%52' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 69%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 8%53' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 69%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 8%54' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 70%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 8%55' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 70%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 7%56' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 70%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 7%57' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 71%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 7%58' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 71%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 7%59' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 71%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 6%60' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 72%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 6%61' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 72%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 6%62' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 73%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 6%63' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 73%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 6%64' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 73%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 5%65' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 74%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 5%66' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 74%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 5%67' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 75%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 5%68' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 75%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 4%69' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 76%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 4%70' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 76%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 4%71' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 77%, draw 19%, V-varen Nagasaki 4%72' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 77%, draw 19%, V-varen Nagasaki 4%73' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 78%, draw 19%, V-varen Nagasaki 3%74' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 79%, draw 18%, V-varen Nagasaki 3%75' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 79%, draw 18%, V-varen Nagasaki 3%76' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 80%, draw 18%, V-varen Nagasaki 3%77' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 80%, draw 17%, V-varen Nagasaki 3%78' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 81%, draw 17%, V-varen Nagasaki 2%79' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 82%, draw 16%, V-varen Nagasaki 2%80' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 82%, draw 16%, V-varen Nagasaki 2%81' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 83%, draw 15%, V-varen Nagasaki 2%82' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 84%, draw 14%, V-varen Nagasaki 2%83' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 85%, draw 14%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%84' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 86%, draw 13%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%85' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 86%, draw 12%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%86' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 87%, draw 12%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%87' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 88%, draw 11%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%88' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 89%, draw 10%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%89' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 90%, draw 9%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%90' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 91%, draw 8%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+1' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 92%, draw 7%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+2' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 94%, draw 6%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+3' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 95%, draw 5%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+4' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 96%, draw 4%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+5' · 1–0 · JEF United Chiba 98%, draw 2%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+6' · 1–1 · JEF United Chiba 1%, draw 99%, V-varen Nagasaki 1%90+7' · 1–1 · JEF United Chiba 0%, draw 100%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+8' · 1–1 · JEF United Chiba 0%, draw 100%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%90+9' · 1–1 · JEF United Chiba 0%, draw 100%, V-varen Nagasaki 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave V-varen Nagasaki 39% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 5'JEF United Chiba:Thiago Santana 1617 −13* (own goal)
  2. 13'V-varen Nagasaki:Thiago Santana 1617 −13*
  3. 45'V-varen Nagasaki:Kenshin Yasuda 1293 −8* for Riku Yamada 1585 −9*
  4. 53'JEF United Chiba:Erison Danilo de Souza 1738 −8*
  5. 56'JEF United Chiba:Koki Yonekura 1186 −18* for Rikuto Ishio 1419 −7*
  6. 61'V-varen Nagasaki:Takuma Ominami 1739 −9* for Ryosuke Shindo 1677 −10*
  7. 65'V-varen Nagasaki:Yusei Egawa 1629 −8* for Kanta Doi 1690 −8*
  8. 69'JEF United Chiba:Zain Issaka 1516 −9* for Naohiro Sugiyama 1475 −8*
  9. 69'JEF United Chiba:Hiroto Goya 1432 −11* for Erison Danilo de Souza 1738 −8*
  10. 74'V-varen Nagasaki:Jonathan Junior 1414 −8* for Thiago Santana 1617 −13*
  11. 79'JEF United Chiba:Yusuke Kobayashi 1471 −11* for Takuya Yasui 1455 −5*
  12. 79'JEF United Chiba:Kazuki Tanaka 1189 −8* for Takumi Tsukui 1594 −7*
  13. 86'V-varen Nagasaki:Tenmu Matsumoto 1452 −8* for Asahi Masuyama 1524 −9*
  14. 90+2'JEF United Chiba:Daisuke Suzuki 1357 −16* for Masaru Hidaka 1491 −10*
  15. 90+2'JEF United Chiba:Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco 1481 −6*
  16. 90+5'V-varen Nagasaki:Kenshin Yasuda 1293 −8* assist Hotaru Yamaguchi 1606 −16*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-2-1
GJ. Suarez1495
DR. Ishio1419−7*
DB. Nduka1714−9*
DT. Kawano1496−8*
DM. Hidaka1491−10*
MN. Sugiyama1475−8*
MDudu1481−6*
MT. Yasui1455−5*
MT. Tsukui1594−7*
FErison1738−8*
FK. Yamura1408−7*
CY. Kobayashi1434−5*
GM. Goto1539−9*
DR. Shindo1677−10*
DI. Arai1479−12*
DK. Doi1690−8*
MA. Masuyama1524−9*
MH. Yamaguchi1606−16*
MR. Yamada1585−9*
MS. Yoneda1415−10*
MMatheus Jesus1652−10*
MM. Hasegawa1653−9*
FThiago Santana1617−13*
CT. Takagi1637−8*
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(JEF United Chiba · draw · V-varen Nagasaki)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: JEF United Chiba €382K, V-varen Nagasaki €393K.
  • JEF United Chiba's expected eleven was out of form: average -2.6 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of V-varen Nagasaki's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

JEF United Chiba

20th in J1 League · 4 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLShimizu S-pulse 1546
  • 13 SepDTokyo Verdy 1553
  • 6 SepWGamba Osaka 1452
  • 2 SepLFagiano Okayama 1504
  • 29 AugLKawasaki Frontale 1490

V-varen Nagasaki

15th in J1 League · 8 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDCerezo Osaka 1608
  • 12 SepWNagoya Grampus 1570
  • 6 SepLVissel Kobe 1615
  • 2 SepDGamba Osaka 1613
  • 29 AugLFC Tokyo 1614

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
JEF United Chiba4 /834.10%0%70%20th
V-varen Nagasaki8 /842.10%<1%23%16th
JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. Nduka
B. Nduka

JEF United Chiba · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1723

Matheus Jesus
Matheus Jesus

V-varen Nagasaki · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1661

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Yoshiyuki Kobayashi

Coach DNA: –

Takuya Takagi

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

JEF United Chiba: balanced profile (how Yoshiyuki Kobayashi plays) · V-varen Nagasaki: balanced profile (how Takuya Takagi plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.