UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Inter vs VfB Stuttgart
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Inter host VfB Stuttgart on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Inter 66%, draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Inter €32.4M, VfB Stuttgart €16.3M.
- Serie A: M. Akanji is the highest-rated defender (2539).
- Inter's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Inter goals first.
- 2–010%
- 1–110%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.7 pts
Team Elo: Inter 2417 · VfB Stuttgart 2157
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2539
VfB Stuttgart · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2208
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter
2nd in Serie A · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovWComo Serie A2433
- 3 NovWFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2419
- 31 OctLAC Milan Serie A2435
- 28 OctWVenezia Serie A2378
- 25 OctWFiorentina Serie A2359
VfB Stuttgart
8th in Bundesliga · 12 pts from 9
- 7 NovWWerder Bremen Bundesliga2110
- 3 NovLGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2204
- 31 OctWBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2166
- 28 OctWSC Paderborn 07 Germany DFB Pokal2173
- 23 OctLBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2122
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 6 /4 | 13.7 | 25.0 | 73.2 | 1.8 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 7 /4 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 82.4 | 10.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter: possession-based · creative (how C. Chivu plays) · VfB Stuttgart: possession-based · creative (how Sebastian Hoeneß plays)