Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Inter vs Como
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Inter host Como on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Inter 48%, draw 27%, Como 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Inter €36.4M, Como €25.7M.
- Serie A: A. Bastoni is the highest-rated defender (2554).
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie A): Inter rank #1 of 20, Como #17.
- Inter's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Inter goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Inter 2410 · Como 2291
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2534
Como · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2418
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter
1st in Serie A · 19 pts from 7
- 21 OctWShakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League2411
- 17 OctWBologna Serie A2426
- 13 OctLClub Brugge KV UEFA Champions League2419
- 10 OctWParma Serie A2342
- 19 SepDAS Roma Serie A2417
Como
5th in Serie A · 14 pts from 7
- 21 OctWManchester United UEFA Champions League2296
- 18 OctWFiorentina Serie A2226
- 14 OctLFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2264
- 11 OctDAS Roma Serie A2295
- 20 SepLFrosinone Serie A2303
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 19 /7 | 83.7 | 77% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Como | 14 /7 | 70.3 | 5% | 65% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter: possession-based · creative (how C. Chivu plays) · Como: possession-based (how Cesc Fàbregas plays)