UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
Heart Of Midlothian vs Monaco
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Heart Of Midlothian host Monaco on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Heart Of Midlothian 20%, draw 25%, Monaco 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Heart Of Midlothian €831K, Monaco €10.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Heart Of Midlothian goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–18%
- 2–26%
- 1–36%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Heart Of Midlothian 1792 · Monaco 2137
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1828
Monaco · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Good) · Elo 2217
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Heart Of Midlothian
4th in Premiership · 20 pts from 12
- 8 NovLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1759
- 5 NovLFC Thun UEFA Conference League1795
- 28 OctDRangers Scotland Premiership1773
- 25 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1741
- 22 OctLTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League1719
Monaco
7th in Ligue 1 · 16 pts from 10
- 8 NovDLe Mans Ligue 12144
- 5 NovWFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League2102
- 1 NovLParis FC Ligue 12164
- 25 OctDLille Ligue 12201
- 22 OctWSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League2106
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1 /3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 32.9 | 67.1 |
| Monaco | 9 /3 | 14.3 | 90.2 | 9.8 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays) · Monaco: balanced profile (how Filipe Luís plays)