UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Heart Of MidlothianTeam 1722
FC NordsjaellandTeam 1910Match story
Heart Of Midlothian · draw · FC NordsjaellandBefore kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%
Last reading, 90+3': 4% · 91% · 5%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- O. McEntee 33'
- N. Rojkjaer 86'
We gave FC Nordsjaelland 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
- C. Braga 1937 05'
Heart Of Midlothian:C. Braga 1937 0 - O. McEntee 1968 0 assist J. McCart 1870 −133'
Heart Of Midlothian:O. McEntee 1968 0 assist J. McCart 1870 −1 - 43'V. Nelsson 1951 −1
FC Nordsjaelland:V. Nelsson 1951 −1 - J. Wilson 1708 047'
Heart Of Midlothian:J. Wilson 1708 0 - 55'I. Adel 1896 0
FC Nordsjaelland:I. Adel 1896 0 - 64'L. Sadio 1756 0 for R. Norheim 1909 0
FC Nordsjaelland:L. Sadio 1756 0 for R. Norheim 1909 0 - 64'N. Rojkjaer 1881 −1 for M. Brink 1882 −1
FC Nordsjaelland:N. Rojkjaer 1881 −1 for M. Brink 1882 −1 - H. Milne 1828 −166'
Heart Of Midlothian:H. Milne 1828 −1 - S. Kerjota 1642 0 for C. Braga 1937 070'
Heart Of Midlothian:S. Kerjota 1642 0 for C. Braga 1937 0 - 72'H. Rasmussen – for A. Lind 1885 0
FC Nordsjaelland:H. Rasmussen – for A. Lind 1885 0 - J. Williams 1199 −1 for J. Wilson 1708 077'
Heart Of Midlothian:J. Williams 1199 −1 for J. Wilson 1708 0 - 83'V. Berthelsen 1725 0 for V. Nelsson 1951 −1
FC Nordsjaelland:V. Berthelsen 1725 0 for V. Nelsson 1951 −1 - 86'N. Rojkjaer 1881 −1 assist J. Lahteenmaki 2028 0
FC Nordsjaelland:N. Rojkjaer 1881 −1 assist J. Lahteenmaki 2028 0 - S. Kingsley 1843 −11* for H. Milne 1828 −187'
Heart Of Midlothian:S. Kingsley 1843 −11* for H. Milne 1828 −1 - R. Mato 1634 −8* for J. McPake 1876 +187'
Heart Of Midlothian:R. Mato 1634 −8* for J. McPake 1876 +1 - J. Altena 1882 0 for O. McEntee 1968 087'
Heart Of Midlothian:J. Altena 1882 0 for O. McEntee 1968 0 - 89'J. Lahteenmaki 2028 0
FC Nordsjaelland:J. Lahteenmaki 2028 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Heart Of Midlothian · draw · FC Nordsjaelland)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Heart Of Midlothian €983K, FC Nordsjaelland €2.7M.
- Home advantage made Heart Of Midlothian the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance was 29%, above the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 8
- 10 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1736
- 19 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1788
- 15 SepLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1819
- 6 SepWDundee Scotland Premiership1814
- 3 SepWHibernian Scotland Premiership1781
FC Nordsjaelland
4th in Superliga · 18 pts from 10
- 9 OctDOdense Denmark Superliga1830
- 20 SepLViborg Denmark Superliga1888
- 13 SepWAarhus Denmark Superliga1914
- 7 SepDFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1890
- 3 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1891
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 0 /0 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 53.6 | 39.0 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 0 /0 | 8.5 | 14.4 | 62.3 | 23.3 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1876

FC Nordsjaelland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.8 (Elite) · Elo 1904
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays) · FC Nordsjaelland: possession-based (how Jens Fønsskov Olsen plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.