UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest
Hapoel Beer Sheva host OFI on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hapoel Beer Sheva 45%, draw 28%, OFI 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.1M, OFI €913K.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi is the highest-rated defender (1980).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hapoel Beer Sheva goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1805 · OFI 1799
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1957
OFI · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1795
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League1826
- 18 OctWHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1717
- 15 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1856
- 10 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1799
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
OFI
7th in Super League 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 22 OctLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1826
- 18 OctLKalamata Greece Super League1798
- 15 OctLRennes UEFA Europa League1846
- 10 OctLAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1867
- 20 SepDAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League1812
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 /3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 92.5 |
| OFI | 3 /3 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 39.4 | 60.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hapoel Beer Sheva: creative (how Ran Kozuch plays) · OFI: balanced profile (how Christos Kontis plays)