UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
Getafe vs Brighton
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe host Brighton on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Getafe 15%, draw 22%, Brighton 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Getafe €3.8M, Brighton €27.4M.
- Brighton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Getafe goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Getafe 1924 · Brighton 2373
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Getafe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2022
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2533
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Getafe
15th in La Liga · 9 pts from 9
- 22 OctLFC Lugano UEFA Conference League1844
- 19 OctDRayo Vallecano La Liga1918
- 15 OctDUniversitatea Craiova UEFA Conference League1885
- 10 OctLBarcelona La Liga1932
- 20 SepWMalaga La Liga1940
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctDFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2237
- 18 OctWCrystal Palace Premier League2393
- 15 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League2254
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
- 19 SepWArsenal Premier League2309
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 1 /2 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 67.9 | 30.7 |
| Brighton | 4 /2 | 12.7 | 67.2 | 32.5 | 0.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Getafe: direct · aggressive (how José Bordalás plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)