NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

Gent 1–0 Aarhus

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent

Gent crestGentTeam 1986
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Aarhus crestAarhusTeam 1711

Match story

Gent · draw · Aarhus

Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%

Live chances: Gent 96%, draw 4%, Aarhus 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Gent 67%, draw 20%, Aarhus 13%2' · 0–0 · Gent 67%, draw 20%, Aarhus 13%3' · 0–0 · Gent 67%, draw 20%, Aarhus 13%4' · 0–0 · Gent 66%, draw 21%, Aarhus 13%5' · 0–0 · Gent 66%, draw 21%, Aarhus 13%6' · 0–0 · Gent 66%, draw 21%, Aarhus 13%7' · 0–0 · Gent 66%, draw 21%, Aarhus 13%8' · 0–0 · Gent 65%, draw 21%, Aarhus 13%9' · 0–0 · Gent 65%, draw 22%, Aarhus 13%10' · 0–0 · Gent 65%, draw 22%, Aarhus 13%11' · 0–0 · Gent 65%, draw 22%, Aarhus 14%12' · 0–0 · Gent 64%, draw 22%, Aarhus 14%13' · 0–0 · Gent 64%, draw 22%, Aarhus 14%14' · 0–0 · Gent 64%, draw 22%, Aarhus 14%15' · 0–0 · Gent 64%, draw 23%, Aarhus 14%16' · 0–0 · Gent 63%, draw 23%, Aarhus 14%17' · 0–0 · Gent 63%, draw 23%, Aarhus 14%18' · 0–0 · Gent 63%, draw 23%, Aarhus 14%19' · 0–0 · Gent 62%, draw 24%, Aarhus 14%20' · 0–0 · Gent 62%, draw 24%, Aarhus 14%21' · 0–0 · Gent 62%, draw 24%, Aarhus 14%22' · 0–0 · Gent 62%, draw 24%, Aarhus 14%23' · 0–0 · Gent 61%, draw 24%, Aarhus 14%24' · 0–0 · Gent 61%, draw 25%, Aarhus 14%25' · 0–0 · Gent 61%, draw 25%, Aarhus 14%26' · 0–0 · Gent 60%, draw 25%, Aarhus 14%27' · 0–0 · Gent 60%, draw 25%, Aarhus 15%28' · 0–0 · Gent 60%, draw 26%, Aarhus 15%29' · 0–0 · Gent 59%, draw 26%, Aarhus 15%30' · 0–0 · Gent 59%, draw 26%, Aarhus 15%31' · 0–0 · Gent 59%, draw 27%, Aarhus 15%32' · 0–0 · Gent 58%, draw 27%, Aarhus 15%33' · 0–0 · Gent 58%, draw 27%, Aarhus 15%34' · 0–0 · Gent 58%, draw 27%, Aarhus 15%35' · 0–0 · Gent 57%, draw 28%, Aarhus 15%36' · 0–0 · Gent 57%, draw 28%, Aarhus 15%37' · 0–0 · Gent 57%, draw 28%, Aarhus 15%38' · 0–0 · Gent 56%, draw 29%, Aarhus 15%39' · 0–0 · Gent 56%, draw 29%, Aarhus 15%40' · 0–0 · Gent 55%, draw 30%, Aarhus 15%41' · 0–0 · Gent 55%, draw 30%, Aarhus 15%43' · 0–0 · Gent 54%, draw 31%, Aarhus 15%44' · 0–0 · Gent 54%, draw 31%, Aarhus 15%45+1' · 0–0 · Gent 53%, draw 32%, Aarhus 15%45+2' · 0–0 · Gent 52%, draw 32%, Aarhus 15%HT · 0–0 · Gent 52%, draw 33%, Aarhus 15%46' · 0–0 · Gent 52%, draw 33%, Aarhus 15%47' · 0–0 · Gent 51%, draw 33%, Aarhus 15%48' · 0–0 · Gent 51%, draw 34%, Aarhus 15%49' · 0–0 · Gent 50%, draw 34%, Aarhus 15%50' · 0–0 · Gent 50%, draw 35%, Aarhus 15%51' · 0–0 · Gent 49%, draw 36%, Aarhus 15%52' · 0–0 · Gent 48%, draw 36%, Aarhus 15%53' · 0–0 · Gent 48%, draw 37%, Aarhus 15%54' · 0–0 · Gent 47%, draw 38%, Aarhus 15%55' · 0–0 · Gent 46%, draw 38%, Aarhus 15%56' · 0–0 · Gent 46%, draw 39%, Aarhus 15%57' · 0–0 · Gent 45%, draw 40%, Aarhus 15%58' · 0–0 · Gent 44%, draw 40%, Aarhus 15%59' · 0–0 · Gent 44%, draw 41%, Aarhus 15%60' · 0–0 · Gent 43%, draw 42%, Aarhus 15%61' · 0–0 · Gent 42%, draw 43%, Aarhus 15%62' · 0–0 · Gent 42%, draw 44%, Aarhus 15%63' · 0–0 · Gent 41%, draw 44%, Aarhus 15%64' · 0–0 · Gent 40%, draw 45%, Aarhus 15%65' · 0–0 · Gent 39%, draw 46%, Aarhus 15%66' · 0–0 · Gent 39%, draw 47%, Aarhus 14%67' · 0–0 · Gent 38%, draw 48%, Aarhus 14%68' · 0–0 · Gent 37%, draw 49%, Aarhus 14%69' · 0–0 · Gent 36%, draw 50%, Aarhus 14%70' · 0–0 · Gent 35%, draw 51%, Aarhus 14%71' · 0–0 · Gent 35%, draw 52%, Aarhus 14%72' · 0–0 · Gent 34%, draw 53%, Aarhus 13%73' · 0–0 · Gent 33%, draw 54%, Aarhus 13%74' · 0–0 · Gent 32%, draw 55%, Aarhus 13%75' · 0–0 · Gent 31%, draw 56%, Aarhus 13%76' · 0–0 · Gent 30%, draw 57%, Aarhus 12%77' · 0–0 · Gent 29%, draw 59%, Aarhus 12%78' · 0–0 · Gent 28%, draw 60%, Aarhus 12%79' · 0–0 · Gent 27%, draw 62%, Aarhus 11%80' · 0–0 · Gent 26%, draw 63%, Aarhus 11%81' · 0–0 · Gent 25%, draw 64%, Aarhus 11%82' · 0–0 · Gent 24%, draw 66%, Aarhus 10%83' · 0–0 · Gent 22%, draw 68%, Aarhus 10%84' · 0–0 · Gent 21%, draw 69%, Aarhus 10%85' · 0–0 · Gent 20%, draw 71%, Aarhus 9%86' · 0–0 · Gent 19%, draw 73%, Aarhus 9%87' · 0–0 · Gent 17%, draw 75%, Aarhus 8%88' · 1–0 · Gent 93%, draw 7%, Aarhus 0%89' · 1–0 · Gent 93%, draw 7%, Aarhus 0%90' · 1–0 · Gent 94%, draw 6%, Aarhus 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Gent 95%, draw 5%, Aarhus 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Gent 96%, draw 4%, Aarhus 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Gent 96%, draw 4%, Aarhus 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 96% · 4% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Gent 67% to win: they did.

  1. 21'Aarhus:F. Emmery 1728 −1 for M. Anderson 1851 −2
  2. 46'Gent:M. Diallo 1536 +8 for S. Van Der Heyden 2131 +5
  3. 46'Aarhus:T. Molgaard 1672 −2 for D. L. Gretarsson 1719 −3
  4. 58'Aarhus:J. Bogere 1343 0
  5. 62'Aarhus:M. Knudsen 1874 −4 for K. Arnstad 1716 −2
  6. 66'Gent:H. Goore 1558 +11 for M. Volckaert 1943 +6
  7. 73'Gent:M. Delorge 2116 +11
  8. 76'Aarhus:M. Solbakken 1822 −15*
  9. 77'Aarhus:F. Tingager 1873 −6 for E. Kahl 1863 −9
  10. 77'Aarhus:J. Jonsson 1826 −15* for M. Solbakken 1822 −15*
  11. 77'Gent:L. Lopes 2029 0 for M. Delorge 2116 +11
  12. 86'Gent:T. De Vlieger 2006 +18
  13. 87'Gent:H. Goore 1558 +11 assist T. Araujo 2154 +11

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-2-1
GMads Hedenstad1751−11*
DColin Rösler1760−9*
DDaníel Grétarsson1719−3
DEric Kahl1863−9
MJacob Andersen15710
MMarkus Solbakken1822−15*
MKristian Arnstad1716−2
MMikael Anderson1851−2
FJames Bogere13430
FCallum McCowatt1619−1
FStefen Tchamche14540
CJakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen1868
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(Gent · draw · Aarhus)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Gent €3.2M, Aarhus €950K.
  • Gent's expected eleven was in form: average +3.1 over 180 days.
  • Gent were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Gent

1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWZulte Waregem 1994
  • 18 SepWStandard Liege 2003
  • 13 SepDGenk 1981
  • 6 SepWCercle Brugge 1980
  • 3 SepWOH Leuven 1957

Aarhus

10th in Superliga · 8 pts from 10

  • 12 OctWSonderjyske 1767
  • 20 SepDAC Horsens 1753
  • 13 SepLFC Nordsjaelland 1739
  • 5 SepDSilkeborg 1746
  • 2 SepLFC Midtjylland 1769

League phase outlook

From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Gent0 /010.940.553.06.4
Aarhus0 /08.816.864.718.6

Full league phase and chances: Conference League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo

Gent · +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2144

C. McCowatt
C. McCowatt

Aarhus · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1620

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rik De Mil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Jakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Gent: balanced profile (how Rik De Mil plays) · Aarhus: balanced profile (how Jakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.