Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Genoa vs Venezia
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Genoa host Venezia on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Genoa 42%, draw 29%, Venezia 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Genoa €7.4M, Venezia €3.9M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Genoa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Genoa 2016 · Venezia 1964
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Genoa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2112
Venezia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2026
Absences
Genoa
None reported
Venezia
Ruled out
- M. ŠverkoHip Injury1949
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Genoa
18th in Serie A · 4 pts from 7
- 17 OctLAS Roma Serie A1934
- 10 OctWFiorentina Serie A1992
- 20 SepLParma Serie A1999
- 15 SepWSudtirol Italy Coppa Italia1841
- 12 SepDFrosinone Serie A2046
Venezia
20th in Serie A · 3 pts from 7
- 17 OctWNapoli Serie A1953
- 12 OctLAtalanta Serie A1981
- 19 SepLLazio Serie A1970
- 11 SepLFiorentina Serie A1964
- 6 SepLFrosinone Serie A1956
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 4 /7 | 40.1 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 15th |
| Venezia | 3 /7 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Genoa: direct (how Daniele De Rossi plays) · Venezia: balanced profile (how Davide Nicola plays)