UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Rams Park, Istanbul
Galatasaray host VfB Stuttgart on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Galatasaray 49%, draw 27%, VfB Stuttgart 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Galatasaray €12.2M, VfB Stuttgart €15.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Galatasaray goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Galatasaray 2216 · VfB Stuttgart 2161
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Galatasaray · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2253
VfB Stuttgart · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2218
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Galatasaray
1st in Süper Lig · 19 pts from 8
- 17 OctWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2207
- 13 OctLBarcelona UEFA Champions League2232
- 9 OctWKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig2201
- 19 SepLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig2250
- 13 SepWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2250
VfB Stuttgart
13th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 17 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2213
- 14 OctWSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League2156
- 10 OctWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2183
- 19 SepLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga2190
- 12 SepL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga2147
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 0 /2 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 39.2 | 59.7 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 /2 | 13.2 | 24.4 | 68.8 | 6.8 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Galatasaray: creative · shot-heavy (how Okan Buruk plays) · VfB Stuttgart: possession-based · creative (how Sebastian Hoeneß plays)