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Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · PSC Arena, Frosinone

Frosinone crestFrosinoneTeam 2000
4–2
Full time
HT 3–2
Sassuolo crestSassuoloTeam 2017

Match story

Frosinone · draw · Sassuolo

Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 36%

Live chances: Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 36%2' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 36%3' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%4' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%5' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%6' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%7' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%8' · 0–0 · Frosinone 36%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 35%9' · 1–0 · Frosinone 64%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 14%10' · 1–0 · Frosinone 64%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 14%11' · 1–0 · Frosinone 64%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 14%12' · 1–0 · Frosinone 64%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 14%14' · 1–0 · Frosinone 64%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 14%15' · 1–1 · Frosinone 35%, draw 30%, Sassuolo 35%16' · 1–1 · Frosinone 35%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 34%17' · 2–1 · Frosinone 65%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 13%18' · 1–1 · Frosinone 35%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 34%19' · 1–1 · Frosinone 35%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 34%20' · 1–1 · Frosinone 35%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 34%21' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 34%22' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 32%, Sassuolo 34%23' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 32%, Sassuolo 34%24' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 32%, Sassuolo 34%25' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 32%, Sassuolo 34%26' · 1–1 · Frosinone 34%, draw 33%, Sassuolo 34%27' · 2–1 · Frosinone 66%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 12%28' · 2–1 · Frosinone 66%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 12%29' · 2–1 · Frosinone 66%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 12%30' · 3–1 · Frosinone 90%, draw 8%, Sassuolo 2%32' · 3–1 · Frosinone 90%, draw 8%, Sassuolo 2%33' · 3–1 · Frosinone 90%, draw 7%, Sassuolo 2%34' · 3–1 · Frosinone 90%, draw 7%, Sassuolo 2%35' · 3–1 · Frosinone 90%, draw 7%, Sassuolo 2%36' · 3–1 · Frosinone 91%, draw 7%, Sassuolo 2%37' · 3–1 · Frosinone 91%, draw 7%, Sassuolo 2%38' · 3–2 · Frosinone 67%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 11%39' · 3–2 · Frosinone 67%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%40' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%41' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%42' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%43' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%44' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 10%45' · 3–2 · Frosinone 68%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 9%45+1' · 3–2 · Frosinone 69%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 9%45+2' · 3–2 · Frosinone 69%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 9%HT · 3–2 · Frosinone 69%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 9%47' · 3–2 · Frosinone 69%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 9%48' · 3–2 · Frosinone 70%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 8%49' · 3–2 · Frosinone 70%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 8%50' · 3–2 · Frosinone 70%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 8%51' · 3–2 · Frosinone 70%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 8%52' · 3–2 · Frosinone 71%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 8%53' · 3–2 · Frosinone 71%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 7%54' · 3–2 · Frosinone 71%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 7%55' · 3–2 · Frosinone 72%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 7%56' · 3–2 · Frosinone 72%, draw 21%, Sassuolo 7%57' · 3–2 · Frosinone 72%, draw 21%, Sassuolo 6%58' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 5%, Sassuolo 1%59' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%60' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%61' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%62' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%63' · 4–2 · Frosinone 95%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%64' · 4–2 · Frosinone 96%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%65' · 4–2 · Frosinone 96%, draw 4%, Sassuolo 1%66' · 4–2 · Frosinone 96%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%67' · 4–2 · Frosinone 96%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%68' · 4–2 · Frosinone 96%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%69' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%70' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%71' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%72' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%73' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 3%, Sassuolo 0%74' · 4–2 · Frosinone 97%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%75' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%76' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%77' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%78' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%79' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%80' · 4–2 · Frosinone 98%, draw 2%, Sassuolo 0%81' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%82' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%83' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%84' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%85' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%86' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%87' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%88' · 4–2 · Frosinone 99%, draw 1%, Sassuolo 0%89' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90+1' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90+2' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90+3' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90+4' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%90+5' · 4–2 · Frosinone 100%, draw 0%, Sassuolo 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Frosinone 36% to win: they did.

  1. 9'Frosinone:Giacomo Calò 2136 +44
  2. 15'Sassuolo:Domenico Berardi 2048 −20 assist Darryl Bakola 1901 0
  3. 26'Frosinone:Antonio Raimondo 2095 +65
  4. 30'Frosinone:Antonio Raimondo 2095 +65
  5. 37'Sassuolo:Kristian Thorstvedt 2129 −21
  6. 57'Frosinone:Antonio Raimondo 2095 +65
  7. 58'Sassuolo:Kieron Bowie 1969 0 for Kristian Thorstvedt 2129 −21
  8. 67'Sassuolo:Benjamin Dominguez 1965 −8* for Sebastiano Esposito 2122 −8
  9. 68'Sassuolo:Rafael Obrador 1848 −8* for Josh Doig 2039 −3
  10. 68'Sassuolo:Luca Lipani 1869 0 for Nemanja Matić 1967 −12
  11. 74'Frosinone:Omar Fayed Abdelwahab El Rakhawy 1690 +3* for Ilario Monterisi 2092 +9*
  12. 74'Frosinone:Alessio Zerbin 1914 +6 for Giorgi Kvernadze 2091 +18
  13. 80'Frosinone:Wisdom Amey 1433 +2* for Anthony Oyono 2129 +16
  14. 80'Frosinone:Matteo Cichella 1923 +4 for Giacomo Calò 2136 +44
  15. 82'Sassuolo:Kieron Bowie 1969 0
  16. 83'Sassuolo:Cristian Volpato 1908 −8* for Armand Lauriente 2129 −11
  17. 90'Frosinone:Daniel Birligea 1737 0 for Antonio Raimondo 2095 +65

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GL. Palmisani2095+21
DA. Oyono2129+16
DG. Cittadini1977+32
DI. Monterisi2092+9*
DG. Bracaglia2079+23
MP. Masini2063+24
MG. Calò2136+44
MF. Ghedjemis2016+29
MR. Schmid2155+15
MG. Kvernadze2091+18
FA. Raimondo2095+65
CM. Alvini2105+40
GA. Murić2137−35
DI. Van der Brempt2090−8
DD. Ćaleta-Car2137−14
DC. Odenthal18560
DJ. Doig2039−3
MK. Thorstvedt2129−21
MN. Matić1967−12
MD. Bakola19010
FD. Berardi2048−20
FS. Esposito2122−8
FA. Laurienté2129−11
CA. Aquilani19750
Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 36%(Frosinone · draw · Sassuolo)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Frosinone €4.9M, Sassuolo €7.7M.
  • Sassuolo were without 2 expected starters: F. Leysen (2197) and J. Idzes (2151).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Frosinone

9th in Serie A · 10 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLNapoli 2072
  • 20 SepWComo 2044
  • 12 SepDGenoa 2031
  • 6 SepWVenezia 2002
  • 2 SepDSassuolo 1830

Sassuolo

11th in Serie A · 8 pts from 6

  • 11 OctDAC Milan 2039
  • 18 SepLMonza 2089
  • 13 SepWJuventus 2052
  • 6 SepDBologna 1961
  • 2 SepDFrosinone 1945

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Frosinone10 /646.30%<1%4%13th
Sassuolo8 /647.10%<1%4%12th
Frosinone
Sassuolo

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Calò
G. Calò

Frosinone · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2092

N. Matić
N. Matić

Sassuolo · +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1979

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Massimiliano Alvini

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Alberto Aquilani

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Frosinone: balanced profile (how Massimiliano Alvini plays) · Sassuolo: balanced profile (how Alberto Aquilani plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.