UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
FK Jablonec vs Brighton
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
FK Jablonec host Brighton on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Jablonec 6%, draw 13%, Brighton 81%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Jablonec €654K, Brighton €28.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Europa Conference League League Stage - 2: 710 points.
- Draw chance 13%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 26% this round.
- Brighton have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Jablonec goals first.
- 0–310%
- 0–210%
- 1–38%
- 1–28%
- 0–48%
- 1–46%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–3expected 5.5 pts
Team Elo: FK Jablonec 1673 · Brighton 2383
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Jablonec · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1743
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2533
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Jablonec
8th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 11
- 18 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1699
- 15 OctLSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League1696
- 10 OctWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1694
- 20 SepDZlin Czech Liga1652
- 12 SepLSparta Praha Czech Liga1711
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 7
- 18 OctWCrystal Palace Premier League2393
- 15 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League2254
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
- 19 SepWArsenal Premier League2309
- 16 SepWManchester United England League Cup2153
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 1 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 0 /1 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 23.5 | 76.1 |
| Brighton | 3 /1 | 14.3 | 86.6 | 13.2 | 0.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FK Jablonec: balanced profile (how Luboš Kozel plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)