UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
FK Crvena Zvezda host FC Copenhagen on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Crvena Zvezda 44%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Crvena Zvezda €3.5M, FC Copenhagen €2.6M.
- Home advantage makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Super Liga: Matheus is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2053).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Crvena Zvezda goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: FK Crvena Zvezda 1922 · FC Copenhagen 1926
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Crvena Zvezda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2018
FC Copenhagen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1991
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Crvena Zvezda
1st in Super Liga · 34 pts from 12
- 18 OctWMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1807
- 15 OctLFC Lugano UEFA Conference League1945
- 10 OctWRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1920
- 20 SepWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1882
- 17 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1902
FC Copenhagen
1st in Superliga · 25 pts from 11
- 18 OctDAarhus Denmark Superliga1970
- 15 OctWSC Braga UEFA Conference League1894
- 11 OctLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1964
- 20 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1942
- 11 SepWAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1882
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 1 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 /1 | 8.5 | 12.1 | 71.2 | 16.7 |
| FC Copenhagen | 3 /1 | 12.1 | 58.1 | 40.8 | 1.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FK Crvena Zvezda: shot-heavy · creative (how Albert Riera Ortega plays) · FC Copenhagen: balanced profile (how Bo Svensson plays)