Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Fiorentina vs Juventus
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Fiorentina host Juventus on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fiorentina 29%, draw 29%, Juventus 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fiorentina €15.6M, Juventus €21.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fiorentina goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Fiorentina 2135 · Juventus 2234
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fiorentina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1872
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2311
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fiorentina
18th in Serie A · 4 pts from 7
- 18 OctLComo Serie A2121
- 10 OctLGenoa Serie A2184
- 20 SepDNapoli Serie A2102
- 15 SepWPisa Italy Coppa Italia2119
- 11 SepWVenezia Serie A2082
Juventus
9th in Serie A · 11 pts from 7
- 22 OctDRennes UEFA Europa League2263
- 18 OctLLazio Serie A2269
- 15 OctWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2250
- 11 OctDCagliari Serie A2300
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 4 /7 | 48.3 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
| Juventus | 11 /7 | 62.8 | 1% | 22% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fiorentina: balanced profile (how Paolo Vanoli plays) · Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays)