UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Feyenoord vs FC Porto
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · De Kuip, Rotterdam
Feyenoord host FC Porto on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Feyenoord 24%, draw 27%, FC Porto 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Feyenoord €5.6M, FC Porto €21.0M.
- Primeira Liga: Diogo Costa is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2571).
- FC Porto's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Feyenoord goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 0–28%
- 2–27%
- 2–16%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Feyenoord 2079 · FC Porto 2356
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Feyenoord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2115
FC Porto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2471
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Feyenoord
2nd in Eredivisie · 25 pts from 12
- 8 NovLHeerenveen Eredivisie2113
- 3 NovLInter UEFA Champions League2104
- 31 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie2137
- 25 OctDPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie2142
- 21 OctLReal Betis UEFA Champions League2139
FC Porto
1st in Primeira Liga · 33 pts from 11
- 8 NovWVitória SC Primeira Liga2397
- 4 NovWNapoli UEFA Champions League2354
- 31 OctWEstoril Primeira Liga2383
- 24 OctWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga2355
- 20 OctLPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2352
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 3 /4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 23.6 | 76.4 |
| FC Porto | 3 /4 | 10.3 | 1.2 | 75.8 | 22.9 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Feyenoord: dribble-heavy · creative (how G. van Bronckhorst plays) · FC Porto: possession-based (how Francesco Farioli plays)