UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Groupama Aréna, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC host Torreense on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 70%, draw 19%, Torreense 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ferencvarosi TC €1.5M, Torreense €532K.
- Draw chance 19%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 25% this round.
- NB I: T. Raemaekers is the highest-rated defender (2041).
- Segunda Liga: Adriel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1735).
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ferencvarosi TC goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.0 pts
Team Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 1901 · Torreense 1585
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ferencvarosi TC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2041
Torreense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.1 (Average) · Elo 1735
Absences
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ferencvarosi TC
5th in NB I · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1903
- 15 OctWPlzen UEFA Europa League1932
- 10 OctDDebreceni VSC NB I1920
- 20 SepDNyiregyhaza NB I1906
- 17 SepWCeltic UEFA Europa League1855
Torreense
15th in Segunda Liga · 6 pts from 7
- 15 OctLSunderland UEFA Europa League1577
- 10 OctLTondela Liga Portugal 21614
- 17 SepWLillestrom UEFA Europa League1592
- 11 SepDLeixoes Liga Portugal 21554
- 5 SepWBenfica B Liga Portugal 21531
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 6 /2 | 13.4 | 22.4 | 73.7 | 3.8 |
| Torreense | 3 /2 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 23.2 | 76.7 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ferencvarosi TC: possession-based (how Balazs Borbely plays) · Torreense: balanced profile (how Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão plays)