UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Groupama Arena, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC host Celje on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 59%, draw 24%, Celje 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ferencvarosi TC €1.4M, Celje €931K.
- NB I: D. Dibusz is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2055).
- All 11 of Ferencvarosi TC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ferencvarosi TC goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 1922 · Celje 1748
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ferencvarosi TC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2071
Celje · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1847
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ferencvarosi TC
2nd in NB I · 23 pts from 12
- 5 NovWAC Milan UEFA Europa League1992
- 25 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1992
- 22 OctWTorreense UEFA Europa League1859
- 18 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1898
- 15 OctWPlzen UEFA Europa League1927
Celje
3rd in 1. SNL · 23 pts from 14
- 5 NovWSturm Graz UEFA Europa League1690
- 22 OctDRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League1723
- 15 OctLOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1752
- 16 SepLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1744
- 26 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1692
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 12 /4 | 16.7 | 74.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Celje | 4 /4 | 8.5 | 0.6 | 37.1 | 62.2 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ferencvarosi TC: possession-based (how Balazs Borbely plays) · Celje: balanced profile (how Zoran Zeljković plays)