UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Chobani Stadium, Istanbul
Fenerbahçe host Slavia Praha on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fenerbahçe 72%, draw 18%, Slavia Praha 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fenerbahçe €9.8M, Slavia Praha €2.6M.
- Slavia Praha are without 1 expected starter: T. Chorý (1984).
- Süper Lig: Ederson is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2421).
- Czech Liga: J. Markovič is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1951).
- Fenerbahçe's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fenerbahçe goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 3–18%
- 1–08%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com3–1expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.1 pts
Team Elo: Fenerbahçe 2266 · Slavia Praha 1919
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: D. Moses for T. Chorý.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fenerbahçe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2335
Slavia Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2008
Absences
Fenerbahçe
Ruled out
- J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury2407
- Marco AsensioKnee Injury2323
- M. MüldürKnee Injury2308
- M. YandaşOff the roster1953
Slavia Praha
Ruled out
- Š. ChaloupekMuscle Injury2011
- I. OgbuAchilles Tendon Injury1998
- T. ChorýCoach's decision1984
- O. KolářOff the roster1824
- A. OuandaInjury1509
Doubtful
- D. JurásekThigh Injury2063
- I. SchranzHealth problems1776
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fenerbahçe
3rd in Süper Lig · 16 pts from 8
- 17 OctWAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig2236
- 14 OctLAston Villa UEFA Champions League2267
- 10 OctWRizespor Turkey Super Lig2289
- 20 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig2257
- 14 SepDGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig2301
Slavia Praha
1st in Czech Liga · 27 pts from 11
- 17 OctDHradec Králové Czech Liga1931
- 13 OctLSabah FA UEFA Champions League1960
- 9 OctWZlin Czech Liga1931
- 20 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1939
- 13 SepWTeplice Czech Liga1852
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 1 /2 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 66.5 | 26.4 |
| Slavia Praha | 0 /2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 98.4 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fenerbahçe: shot-heavy · creative (how İsmail Kartal plays) · Slavia Praha: shot-heavy · creative (how Jindřich Trpišovský plays)