J1 League · Regular Season - 9
FC Tokyo 3–0 Urawa
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
FC TokyoTeam 1773UrawaTeam 1741- Motoki Nagakura 63'
- Soma Anzai 69'
- Kein Sato 85'
We gave FC Tokyo 43% to win: they did.
- Marcelo21'FC Tokyo:Marcelo
- 24'Harumi Minamino offUrawa:Harumi Minamino off
- 45'Tatsuki Seko offUrawa:Tatsuki Seko off
- Kota Tawaratsumida off61'FC Tokyo:Kota Tawaratsumida off
- Kashif Bangnagande off61'FC Tokyo:Kashif Bangnagande off
- Motoki Nagakura63'FC Tokyo:Motoki Nagakura
- Soma Anzai69'FC Tokyo:Soma Anzai
- 72'Kaito Yasui offUrawa:Kaito Yasui off
- 73'Hayate Ueki offUrawa:Hayate Ueki off
- Hirokazu Ishihara off76'FC Tokyo:Hirokazu Ishihara off
- Marcelo off76'FC Tokyo:Marcelo off
- 77'Kotaro Hayashi offUrawa:Kotaro Hayashi off
- Kein Sato85'FC Tokyo:Kein Sato
- Motoki Nagakura off88'FC Tokyo:Motoki Nagakura off
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(FC Tokyo · draw · Urawa)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Tokyo €956K, Urawa €905K.
- FC Tokyo were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Tokyo
5th in J1 League · 17 pts from 8
- 19 SepWNagoya Grampus J1 League1837
- 12 SepWGamba Osaka J1 League1797
- 6 SepWKyoto Sanga J1 League1806
- 2 SepDShimizu S-pulse J1 League1777
- 29 AugWV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1797
Urawa
10th in J1 League · 12 pts from 8
- 19 SepWTokyo Verdy J1 League1772
- 13 SepLFagiano Okayama J1 League1711
- 6 SepWKashima J1 League1725
- 2 SepWAvispa Fukuoka J1 League1738
- 29 AugWYokohama F. Marinos J1 League1687
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | 17 /8 | 65.8 | 14% | 58% | 0% | 3rd |
| Urawa | 12 /8 | 56.5 | 1% | 13% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Tokyo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1880
Urawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1853
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Tokyo: balanced profile (how Rikizo Matsuhashi plays) · Urawa: possession-based (how Kwi-Jae Cho plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.