UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
FC Nordsjaelland vs Panathinaikos
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Right to Dream Park, Farum
FC Nordsjaelland host Panathinaikos on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Nordsjaelland 27%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Nordsjaelland €1.9M, Panathinaikos €4.5M.
- Panathinaikos have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Nordsjaelland goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–19%
- 0–28%
- 0–07%
- 2–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: FC Nordsjaelland 1858 · Panathinaikos 2087
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Nordsjaelland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.5 (Good) · Elo 1883
Panathinaikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2179
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Nordsjaelland
4th in Superliga · 23 pts from 14
- 8 NovWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1825
- 5 NovLMonaco UEFA Conference League1796
- 1 NovLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1871
- 25 OctDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1844
- 22 OctDCSKA Sofia UEFA Conference League1870
Panathinaikos
1st in Super League 1 · 27 pts from 10
- 8 NovWIraklis 1908 Greece Super League2097
- 5 NovWCSKA Sofia UEFA Conference League2057
- 1 NovWAEK Athens FC Greece Super League2051
- 25 OctWVolos NFC Greece Super League2051
- 22 OctWKairat Almaty UEFA Conference League1996
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2 /3 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 61.7 | 37.8 |
| Panathinaikos | 9 /3 | 12.4 | 53.8 | 46.2 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Nordsjaelland: possession-based (how J. Olsen plays) · Panathinaikos: possession-based (how J. Neestrup plays)