Superliga · Regular Season - 10
FC Nordsjaelland 0–0 Odense
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Right to Dream Park, Farum
FC NordsjaellandTeam 1870OdenseTeam 1673We gave FC Nordsjaelland 57% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%(FC Nordsjaelland · draw · Odense)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Nordsjaelland €2.0M, Odense €786K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Superliga matchday 10: 198 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Superliga): FC Nordsjaelland ranked #1 of 11, Odense #8.
- FC Nordsjaelland's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Nordsjaelland
4th in Superliga · 17 pts from 9
- 20 SepLViborg Denmark Superliga1888
- 13 SepWAarhus Denmark Superliga1914
- 7 SepDFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1890
- 3 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1891
- 30 AugWBrondby Denmark Superliga1907
Odense
9th in Superliga · 9 pts from 9
- 19 SepDFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1653
- 13 SepWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1608
- 6 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1625
- 30 AugDLyngby Denmark Superliga1630
- 23 AugDAarhus Denmark Superliga1639
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 17 /9 | 40.0 | 8% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
| Odense | 9 /9 | 24.9 | 0% | 3% | 31% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Nordsjaelland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.5 (Good) · Elo 1915
Odense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1690
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Nordsjaelland: possession-based (how Jens Fønsskov Olsen plays) · Odense: balanced profile (how Thomas Thomasberg plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.