UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
FC Copenhagen 3–0 SC Braga
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Parken, Copenhagen
FC CopenhagenTeam 1902
SC BragaTeam 1977Match story
FC Copenhagen · draw · SC BragaBefore kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- M. Elyounoussi 49'
- A. Cornelius 79', 86'
We gave FC Copenhagen 38% to win: they did.
- M. Elyounoussi 1997 +2649'
FC Copenhagen:M. Elyounoussi 1997 +26 - 60'P. Victor 2108 −2 for J. Wind 1970 −1
SC Braga:P. Victor 2108 −2 for J. Wind 1970 −1 - 60'Gabriel Silva 1820 0 for D. Huseinbasic 1968 0
SC Braga:Gabriel Silva 1820 0 for D. Huseinbasic 1968 0 - A. Cornelius 1864 +16 for V. Dadason 1626 +2861'
FC Copenhagen:A. Cornelius 1864 +16 for V. Dadason 1626 +28 - M. Nasnas 1712 +11 for M. Elyounoussi 1997 +2662'
FC Copenhagen:M. Nasnas 1712 +11 for M. Elyounoussi 1997 +26 - R. Huescas 1991 +1* for Robert 2005 +3470'
FC Copenhagen:R. Huescas 1991 +1* for Robert 2005 +34 - T. Delaney 1770 −1 for A. Kral 1953 +1370'
FC Copenhagen:T. Delaney 1770 −1 for A. Kral 1953 +13 - A. Markgraf 1843 +2671'
FC Copenhagen:A. Markgraf 1843 +26 - 75'V. Gomez 2146 −2 for Sergio Barcia 1929 0
SC Braga:V. Gomez 2146 −2 for Sergio Barcia 1929 0 - 75'J. Milosevic 1836 −8* for J. Moutinho 1688 −16
SC Braga:J. Milosevic 1836 −8* for J. Moutinho 1688 −16 - A. Cornelius 1864 +16 assist B. Meling 1917 +5979'
FC Copenhagen:A. Cornelius 1864 +16 assist B. Meling 1917 +59 - H. Nemeth 1651 −3* for W. Clem 2039 +3584'
FC Copenhagen:H. Nemeth 1651 −3* for W. Clem 2039 +35 - 84'M. Dorgeles 2014 0 for Travassos 1816 −8*
SC Braga:M. Dorgeles 2014 0 for Travassos 1816 −8* - H. Nemeth 1651 −3*85'
FC Copenhagen:H. Nemeth 1651 −3* - A. Cornelius 1864 +16 assist T. Maseko 1702 +10986'
FC Copenhagen:A. Cornelius 1864 +16 assist T. Maseko 1702 +109
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%(FC Copenhagen · draw · SC Braga)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FC Copenhagen €2.3M, SC Braga €4.2M.
- Home advantage made FC Copenhagen the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance was 29%, above the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- FC Copenhagen's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Copenhagen
1st in Superliga · 24 pts from 10
- 11 OctLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1964
- 20 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1942
- 11 SepWAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1882
- 6 SepWOdense Denmark Superliga1835
- 3 SepWFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1929
SC Braga
9th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 7
- 9 OctLSporting CP Primeira Liga1964
- 20 SepDSanta Clara Primeira Liga1982
- 14 SepWEstoril Primeira Liga2000
- 10 SepLEstrela Primeira Liga2040
- 5 SepWAlverca Primeira Liga1999
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 0 /0 | 10.2 | 31.5 | 60.1 | 8.4 |
| SC Braga | 0 /0 | 11.4 | 49.1 | 47.2 | 3.7 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FC Copenhagen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1972

SC Braga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1703
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Copenhagen: balanced profile (how Bo Svensson plays) · SC Braga: possession-based (how Carlos Vicens plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.