UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen host FC Iberia 1999 on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Copenhagen 76%, draw 16%, FC Iberia 1999 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Copenhagen €2.8M, FC Iberia 1999 €289K.
- Draw chance 16%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Erovnuli Liga: G. Makaridze is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1581).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Copenhagen goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.2 pts
Team Elo: FC Copenhagen 1930 · FC Iberia 1999 1534
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Copenhagen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1988
FC Iberia 1999 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1593
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Copenhagen
1st in Superliga · 25 pts from 11
- 22 OctDFK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Conference League1923
- 18 OctDAarhus Denmark Superliga1970
- 15 OctWSC Braga UEFA Conference League1894
- 11 OctLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1964
- 20 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1942
FC Iberia 1999
3rd in Erovnuli Liga · 52 pts from 29
- 22 OctDMjallby AIF UEFA Conference League1546
- 19 OctWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1551
- 15 OctLSt. Truiden UEFA Conference League1534
- 10 OctWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1546
- 17 SepWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1525
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 4 /2 | 11.9 | 52.4 | 47.2 | 0.5 |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 1 /2 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 13.9 | 86.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –