Primera División · Clausura - 16
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca host Alianza Atletico on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Cajamarca 28%, draw 28%, Alianza Atletico 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Cajamarca €256K, Alianza Atletico €347K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Cajamarca goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: FC Cajamarca 1476 · Alianza Atletico 1589
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Cajamarca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1573
Alianza Atletico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1665
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Cajamarca
15th in Primera División · 28 pts from 29
- 18 OctLUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1449
- 10 OctDADT Peru Primera Division1476
- 19 SepLCusco Peru Primera Division1492
- 12 SepWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1480
- 4 SepLCienciano Peru Primera Division1509
Alianza Atletico
9th in Primera División · 43 pts from 29
- 18 OctLUniversitario Peru Primera Division1596
- 11 OctWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1570
- 18 SepWComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1573
- 13 SepLAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1572
- 4 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1578
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca | 28 /29 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 16th |
| Alianza Atletico | 43 /29 | 49.8 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Cajamarca: balanced profile (how C. Ayala plays) · Alianza Atletico: direct (how Federico Urciuoli plays)