Primera División · Clausura - 16
FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
FBC Melgar host Juan Pablo II College on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FBC Melgar 50%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II College 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FBC Melgar €547K, Juan Pablo II College €300K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): FBC Melgar rank #2 of 18, Juan Pablo II College #15.
- FBC Melgar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Juan Pablo II College are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FBC Melgar goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FBC Melgar 1729 · Juan Pablo II College 1596
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FBC Melgar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1819
Juan Pablo II College · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1821
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FBC Melgar
3rd in Primera División · 50 pts from 29
- 17 OctWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1713
- 11 OctDUniversitario Peru Primera Division1727
- 20 SepDSport Boys Peru Primera Division1720
- 12 SepWCusco Peru Primera Division1711
- 6 SepWADT Peru Primera Division1710
Juan Pablo II College
12th in Primera División · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1554
- 10 OctDComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1540
- 20 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1554
- 11 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1532
- 6 SepDAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1532
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 50 /29 | 59.2 | <1% | 92% | 0% | 3rd |
| Juan Pablo II College | 38 /29 | 44.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FBC Melgar: balanced profile (how M. Rondelli plays) · Juan Pablo II College: balanced profile (how J. Araujo plays)