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Primera División · Clausura - 12

FBC Melgar 4–2 Deportivo Garcilaso

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa

FBC Melgar crestFBC MelgarTeam 1735
4–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Deportivo Garcilaso crestDeportivo GarcilasoTeam 1622

Match story

FBC Melgar · draw · Deportivo Garcilaso

Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 24%

Live chances: FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%2' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%3' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%4' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%5' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%6' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%7' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%8' · 0–0 · FBC Melgar 46%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%9' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 29%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 43%10' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 29%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 44%11' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 29%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 44%12' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 28%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 44%13' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 28%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 44%14' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 28%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 44%15' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%16' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%17' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%18' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%19' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 26%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%20' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 26%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 46%21' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 26%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 46%22' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 26%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 46%23' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 25%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 46%24' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 25%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 47%25' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 25%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 47%26' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 25%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 47%27' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 24%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 47%28' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 24%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 47%29' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 24%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 48%30' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 48%31' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 48%32' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 48%33' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 49%34' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 22%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 49%35' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 22%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 49%36' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 22%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 50%37' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 21%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 50%38' · 0–1 · FBC Melgar 21%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 50%39' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 41%, draw 35%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%40' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 41%, draw 35%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%41' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 40%, draw 36%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%42' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 40%, draw 36%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%43' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 40%, draw 36%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%44' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 40%, draw 37%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%45' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 39%, draw 37%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%45+1' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 39%, draw 37%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%HT · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 38%, draw 38%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%47' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 38%, draw 39%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%48' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 38%, draw 39%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%49' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 37%, draw 39%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%51' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 37%, draw 40%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%52' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 36%, draw 41%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%53' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 36%, draw 41%, Deportivo Garcilaso 23%54' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 36%, draw 42%, Deportivo Garcilaso 22%55' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 35%, draw 43%, Deportivo Garcilaso 22%56' · 1–1 · FBC Melgar 35%, draw 43%, Deportivo Garcilaso 22%57' · 1–2 · FBC Melgar 13%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 59%58' · 1–2 · FBC Melgar 12%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 59%59' · 1–2 · FBC Melgar 12%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 60%60' · 1–2 · FBC Melgar 12%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 61%61' · 1–2 · FBC Melgar 11%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 61%62' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 32%, draw 47%, Deportivo Garcilaso 21%63' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 31%, draw 48%, Deportivo Garcilaso 21%64' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 31%, draw 49%, Deportivo Garcilaso 20%65' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 31%, draw 49%, Deportivo Garcilaso 20%66' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 30%, draw 50%, Deportivo Garcilaso 20%67' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 29%, draw 51%, Deportivo Garcilaso 20%68' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 29%, draw 52%, Deportivo Garcilaso 19%69' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 28%, draw 53%, Deportivo Garcilaso 19%70' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 28%, draw 53%, Deportivo Garcilaso 19%71' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 54%, Deportivo Garcilaso 18%72' · 2–2 · FBC Melgar 27%, draw 55%, Deportivo Garcilaso 18%73' · 3–2 · FBC Melgar 81%, draw 16%, Deportivo Garcilaso 3%74' · 3–2 · FBC Melgar 82%, draw 16%, Deportivo Garcilaso 2%75' · 3–2 · FBC Melgar 82%, draw 16%, Deportivo Garcilaso 2%76' · 3–2 · FBC Melgar 82%, draw 15%, Deportivo Garcilaso 2%77' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 98%, draw 2%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%78' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 98%, draw 2%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%79' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 98%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%80' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%81' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%82' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%83' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%84' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%85' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%86' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%87' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 1%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%88' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 99%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%89' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90+1' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90+2' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90+3' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90+5' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%90+6' · 4–2 · FBC Melgar 100%, draw 0%, Deportivo Garcilaso 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FBC Melgar 47% to win: they did.

  1. 5'Deportivo Garcilaso:Facundo Castelli 1622 −17
  2. 9'Deportivo Garcilaso:Facundo Castelli 1622 −17 assist Pablo Labrin 1531 0
  3. 39'FBC Melgar:Nicolas Quagliata 1771 +30 assist Matías Lazo 1819 +23
  4. 57'Deportivo Garcilaso:Francisco Arancibia 1633 −22 assist Pablo Labrin 1531 0
  5. 60'Deportivo Garcilaso:Carlos Ramos 1646 −8
  6. 62'FBC Melgar:Johnny Vidales 1644 +8 (pen.)
  7. 64'FBC Melgar:Nicolas Quagliata 1771 +30
  8. 68'FBC Melgar:Horacio Orzan 1527 −15* for Nelson Cabanillas 1767 +8
  9. 71'Deportivo Garcilaso:Fernando Pacheco 1662 −2 for Facundo Castelli 1622 −17
  10. 73'FBC Melgar:Bernardo Cuesta 1649 +39
  11. 74'FBC Melgar:Lautaro Guzmán 1687 +2 for Johnny Vidales 1644 +8
  12. 76'FBC Melgar:Cristian Bordacahar 1659 +37 assist Horacio Orzan 1527 −15*
  13. 81'FBC Melgar:Franco Zanelatto 1666 −6* for Cristian Bordacahar 1659 +37
  14. 82'FBC Melgar:Jesús Alcantar 1608 +2 for Kevin Minda 1771 +9
  15. 83'Deportivo Garcilaso:Claudio Torrejón 1546 −13* for Carlos Ramos 1646 −8
  16. 83'Deportivo Garcilaso:Adrian Ascues 1506 0 for Pablo Labrin 1531 0
  17. 83'Deportivo Garcilaso:Christopher Olivares 1619 −1 for Beto Da Silva 1678 −11
  18. 88'Deportivo Garcilaso:José Anthony Rosell 1354 −10* for Xavi Moreno Layme 1577 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GJ. Cabezudo1704+14
DM. Lazo1819+23
DJ. Escobar1777+26
DL. González1741+15
DN. Cabanillas1767+8
MW. Tandazo1750+11
MK. Minda1771+9
MC. Bordacahar1659+37
MN. Quagliata1771+30
MJ. Vidales1644+8
FB. Cuesta1649+39
CM. Rondelli1777+19
GP. Zubczuk1670−10
DE. Canales1691−11
DA. Salazar1623−10
DA. Gómez1651−10
DX. Moreno1577−2
MA. González1692−13
MF. Arancibia1633−22
MP. Labrin15310
MC. Ramos1646−8
ML. da Silva1678−11
FF. Castelli1622−17
CLisandro Greppo15020
Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 24%(FBC Melgar · draw · Deportivo Garcilaso)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FBC Melgar €600K, Deportivo Garcilaso €354K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Primera División): FBC Melgar ranked #2 of 18, Deportivo Garcilaso #18.
  • FBC Melgar were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FBC Melgar

4th in Primera División · 47 pts from 28

  • 11 OctDUniversitario 1727
  • 20 SepDSport Boys 1720
  • 12 SepWCusco 1711
  • 6 SepWADT 1710
  • 23 AugDAlianza Lima 1712

Deportivo Garcilaso

3rd in Primera División · 48 pts from 28

  • 10 OctLSport Huancayo 1667
  • 19 SepWUniversitario 1618
  • 13 SepLSport Boys 1626
  • 6 SepWAtletico Grau 1609
  • 30 AugWAlianza Lima 1601

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FBC Melgar47 /2857.6<1%81%0%3rd
Deportivo Garcilaso48 /2857.2<1%73%0%4th
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Quagliata
N. Quagliata

FBC Melgar · +4.2 (Good) · Elo 1741

F. Arancibia
F. Arancibia

Deportivo Garcilaso · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1656

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Miguel Ángel Rondelli

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Lisandro Greppo

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FBC Melgar: balanced profile (how Miguel Ángel Rondelli plays) · Deportivo Garcilaso: direct (how Lisandro Greppo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.