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J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Fagiano Okayama 0–3 Vissel Kobe

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 04:55 UTC · JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama crestFagiano OkayamaTeam 1663
0–3
Full time
HT 0–0
Vissel Kobe crestVissel KobeTeam 1855

Match story

Fagiano Okayama · draw · Vissel Kobe

Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 45%

Live chances: Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 45%2' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 45%3' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 45%4' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 45%5' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 45%6' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 45%7' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 45%8' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 45%9' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 44%10' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 44%11' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 44%12' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%13' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%14' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%15' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%16' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%17' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 43%18' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 43%19' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 43%20' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 43%21' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 43%22' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 43%23' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 42%24' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 42%25' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 32%, Vissel Kobe 42%26' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 32%, Vissel Kobe 42%27' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 32%, Vissel Kobe 42%28' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 32%, Vissel Kobe 42%29' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 32%, Vissel Kobe 42%30' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 33%, Vissel Kobe 41%31' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 33%, Vissel Kobe 41%32' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 33%, Vissel Kobe 41%33' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 33%, Vissel Kobe 41%34' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 34%, Vissel Kobe 41%35' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 34%, Vissel Kobe 40%36' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 34%, Vissel Kobe 40%37' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 34%, Vissel Kobe 40%38' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 35%, Vissel Kobe 40%39' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 35%, Vissel Kobe 40%40' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 35%, Vissel Kobe 39%41' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 35%, Vissel Kobe 39%42' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 36%, Vissel Kobe 39%43' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 36%, Vissel Kobe 39%44' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 36%, Vissel Kobe 38%45' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 37%, Vissel Kobe 38%45+1' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 37%, Vissel Kobe 38%45+2' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 37%, Vissel Kobe 38%45+3' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 38%, Vissel Kobe 37%45+4' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 38%, Vissel Kobe 37%HT · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 38%, Vissel Kobe 37%46' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 38%, Vissel Kobe 37%47' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 38%, Vissel Kobe 37%48' · 0–0 · Fagiano Okayama 25%, draw 39%, Vissel Kobe 37%49' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 69%50' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 70%51' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 70%52' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 70%53' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 70%54' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 8%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 70%55' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 7%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 71%56' · 0–1 · Fagiano Okayama 7%, draw 22%, Vissel Kobe 71%57' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 5%, Vissel Kobe 94%58' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 5%, Vissel Kobe 94%59' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 5%, Vissel Kobe 95%60' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 5%, Vissel Kobe 95%61' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 4%, Vissel Kobe 95%62' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 4%, Vissel Kobe 95%63' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 4%, Vissel Kobe 95%64' · 0–2 · Fagiano Okayama 1%, draw 4%, Vissel Kobe 95%65' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 1%, Vissel Kobe 99%66' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 99%67' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 99%68' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%69' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%70' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%71' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%72' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%73' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%74' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%75' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%76' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%77' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%78' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%79' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%80' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%81' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%82' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%83' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%84' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%85' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%86' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%87' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%88' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%89' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+1' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+2' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+3' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+4' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+5' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%90+6' · 0–3 · Fagiano Okayama 0%, draw 0%, Vissel Kobe 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Vissel Kobe 45% to win: they did.

  1. 2'Fagiano Okayama:Lucas Marcos Meireles 1576 −10*
  2. 43'Fagiano Okayama:Oberdan Alionço de Lima 1733 −12
  3. 45'Vissel Kobe:Yuan Iwamoto 1602 +16 for Katsuya Nagato 1888 +3
  4. 45'Fagiano Okayama:Léo Gaúcho 1613 0 for Lucas Marcos Meireles 1576 −10*
  5. 46'Fagiano Okayama:Léo Gaúcho 1613 0
  6. 49'Vissel Kobe:Yuya Osako 1821 +33
  7. 56'Vissel Kobe:Yuya Osako 1821 +33 assist Yoshinori Muto 1823 +36
  8. 63'Fagiano Okayama:Yoshitake Suzuki 1714 −19*
  9. 64'Vissel Kobe:Matheus Thuler 1946 +28
  10. 66'Fagiano Okayama:Ryoga Sato 1535 −1 for Oberdan Alionço de Lima 1733 −12
  11. 66'Fagiano Okayama:Kamiya Yuta 1599 −2 for Towa Yamane 1701 −7
  12. 76'Vissel Kobe:Ren Komatsu 1754 +8 for Yuya Osako 1821 +33
  13. 77'Vissel Kobe:Jean Patric Lima dos Reis 1717 +2 for Yoshinori Muto 1823 +36
  14. 79'Fagiano Okayama:Kota Kawano 1543 0 for Ataru Esaka 1653 −9
  15. 83'Vissel Kobe:Nanasei Iino 1716 0 for Erik Nascimento de Lima 1859 +10
  16. 85'Fagiano Okayama:Noah Kenshin Browne 1324 0 for Na Sang-Ho 1751 −15
  17. 90'Vissel Kobe:Yuta Goke 1874 −8* for Gotoku Sakai 1887 +31

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-3-3
GL. Moser1730
DS. Mori15040
DY. Tatsuta1775−18
DY. Suzuki1714−19*
MK. Shirai1688−11
ME. Miyamoto1760−16
MOberdan1733−12
MT. Yamane1701−7
MNa Sang-Ho1751−15
MA. Esaka1653−9
FLucão1576−10*
CT. Kiyama1739−26
GS. Gonda1889+33
DG. Sakai1887+31
DT. Yamakawa1940+9
DMatheus Thuler1946+28
DDiego1897+18
MY. Ideguchi1917+9
MY. Kuwasaki1849+15
MErik1859+10
FY. Muto1823+36
FY. Osako1821+33
FK. Nagato1888+3
CM. Skibbe1934+20
Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 45%(Fagiano Okayama · draw · Vissel Kobe)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fagiano Okayama €508K, Vissel Kobe €860K.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (J1 League): Fagiano Okayama ranked #21 of 23, Vissel Kobe #3.
  • All 11 of Vissel Kobe's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fagiano Okayama

9th in J1 League · 13 pts from 9

  • 10 OctLAvispa Fukuoka 1696
  • 19 SepLKyoto Sanga 1738
  • 13 SepWUrawa 1686
  • 6 SepWSanfrecce Hiroshima 1645
  • 2 SepWJEF United Chiba 1664

Vissel Kobe

5th in J1 League · 19 pts from 9

  • 14 OctWJeonbuk Motors 1852
  • 9 OctLKashiwa Reysol 1859
  • 20 SepWGamba Osaka 1849
  • 16 SepWPort FC 1824
  • 11 SepWKashima 1823

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fagiano Okayama13 /950.7<1%2%2%9th
Vissel Kobe19 /966.312%60%0%3rd
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Tatsuta
Y. Tatsuta

Fagiano Okayama · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1793

Diego
Diego

Vissel Kobe · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1879

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Takashi Kiyama

Coach DNA: direct

Michael Heinz Skibbe

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Fagiano Okayama: direct (how Takashi Kiyama plays) · Vissel Kobe: high-pressing (how Michael Heinz Skibbe plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.