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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo ZagrebTeam 2018
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Anderlecht crestAnderlechtTeam 1918

Match story

Dinamo Zagreb · draw · Anderlecht

Before kick-off: 53% · 25% · 22%

Live chances: Dinamo Zagreb 100%, draw 0%, Anderlecht 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 22%2' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 22%3' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 22%4' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 22%5' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%6' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 53%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%7' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%8' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%9' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%10' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 22%11' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 52%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 22%12' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 51%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 22%13' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 51%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 22%14' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 51%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 22%15' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 51%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 22%16' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 51%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%17' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 50%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%18' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 50%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%19' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 50%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%20' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 50%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%21' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 49%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 22%22' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 49%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 22%23' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 49%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 22%24' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 49%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 22%25' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 49%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 22%26' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 48%, draw 30%, Anderlecht 22%27' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 48%, draw 30%, Anderlecht 22%28' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 48%, draw 30%, Anderlecht 22%29' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 48%, draw 30%, Anderlecht 22%30' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 31%, Anderlecht 22%31' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 31%, Anderlecht 22%32' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 31%, Anderlecht 22%33' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 31%, Anderlecht 22%34' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 46%, draw 32%, Anderlecht 22%35' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 46%, draw 32%, Anderlecht 22%36' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 46%, draw 32%, Anderlecht 22%37' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 46%, draw 33%, Anderlecht 22%38' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 45%, draw 33%, Anderlecht 22%39' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 45%, draw 33%, Anderlecht 22%40' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 45%, draw 34%, Anderlecht 22%41' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 44%, draw 34%, Anderlecht 22%42' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 44%, draw 34%, Anderlecht 22%43' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 44%, draw 35%, Anderlecht 22%44' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 43%, draw 35%, Anderlecht 22%45' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 43%, draw 35%, Anderlecht 22%HT · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 42%, draw 37%, Anderlecht 21%46' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 42%, draw 37%, Anderlecht 21%47' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 41%, draw 37%, Anderlecht 21%48' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 41%, draw 38%, Anderlecht 21%49' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 41%, draw 38%, Anderlecht 21%50' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 40%, draw 39%, Anderlecht 21%51' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 40%, draw 39%, Anderlecht 21%52' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 39%, draw 40%, Anderlecht 21%53' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 39%, draw 40%, Anderlecht 21%54' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 38%, draw 41%, Anderlecht 21%55' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 38%, draw 42%, Anderlecht 21%56' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 37%, draw 42%, Anderlecht 20%57' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 37%, draw 43%, Anderlecht 20%58' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 36%, draw 44%, Anderlecht 20%59' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 36%, draw 44%, Anderlecht 20%60' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 35%, draw 45%, Anderlecht 20%61' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 35%, draw 46%, Anderlecht 20%62' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 34%, draw 47%, Anderlecht 19%63' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 34%, draw 47%, Anderlecht 19%64' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 33%, draw 48%, Anderlecht 19%65' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 32%, draw 49%, Anderlecht 19%66' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 32%, draw 50%, Anderlecht 18%67' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 31%, draw 51%, Anderlecht 18%68' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 31%, draw 51%, Anderlecht 18%69' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 30%, draw 52%, Anderlecht 18%70' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 29%, draw 53%, Anderlecht 17%71' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 29%, draw 54%, Anderlecht 17%72' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 28%, draw 55%, Anderlecht 17%73' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 27%, draw 56%, Anderlecht 16%74' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 27%, draw 57%, Anderlecht 16%75' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 26%, draw 58%, Anderlecht 16%76' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 25%, draw 60%, Anderlecht 15%77' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 24%, draw 61%, Anderlecht 15%78' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 23%, draw 62%, Anderlecht 14%79' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 22%, draw 64%, Anderlecht 14%80' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 22%, draw 65%, Anderlecht 14%81' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 21%, draw 66%, Anderlecht 13%82' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 20%, draw 68%, Anderlecht 13%83' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 19%, draw 69%, Anderlecht 12%84' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 18%, draw 71%, Anderlecht 11%85' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 17%, draw 73%, Anderlecht 11%86' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 16%, draw 74%, Anderlecht 10%87' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 15%, draw 76%, Anderlecht 9%88' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 13%, draw 78%, Anderlecht 9%89' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 12%, draw 80%, Anderlecht 8%90' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 11%, draw 82%, Anderlecht 7%90+1' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 9%, draw 85%, Anderlecht 6%90+2' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 8%, draw 87%, Anderlecht 5%90+3' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 6%, draw 90%, Anderlecht 4%90+4' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 4%, draw 93%, Anderlecht 3%90+5' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 3%, draw 95%, Anderlecht 2%90+6' · 0–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 1%, draw 98%, Anderlecht 1%90+7' · 1–0 · Dinamo Zagreb 100%, draw 0%, Anderlecht 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dinamo Zagreb 53% to win: they did.

  1. 30'Dinamo Zagreb:Niko Galesic 2150 +9
  2. 35'Anderlecht:Tristan Degreef 1839 −8*
  3. 55'Dinamo Zagreb:Josip Mišić 2073 +6*
  4. 62'Dinamo Zagreb:Dani Rodríguez 1845 +4 for Iker Almena Horcajo 1881 +8
  5. 62'Dinamo Zagreb:Moris Valincic 2078 +5 for Niko Galesic 2150 +9
  6. 65'Anderlecht:Tawfik Bentayeb 1883 0 for Lukas Ambros 1978 −1
  7. 68'Dinamo Zagreb:Lukas Kacavenda 1643 +5 for Luka Stojkovic 2110 +4
  8. 73'Anderlecht:Marten Winkler 1988 −3
  9. 77'Anderlecht:Adriano Bertaccini 1887 0 for Tristan Degreef 1839 −8*
  10. 77'Anderlecht:Danylo Sikan 2086 −1 for Mihajlo Cvetkovic 1883 0
  11. 87'Anderlecht:Romeo Amane 1811 −8* for Mario Stroeykens 1910 0
  12. 87'Anderlecht:Oliver Antman 1896 0 for Marten Winkler 1988 −3
  13. 90+6'Dinamo Zagreb:Dion Drena Beljo 2119 +15 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-3-3
GC. Coosemans2020−6
DK. Barry16070
DL. Pétrot2024−8
DA. Omobamidele2123−25*
DO. Reabciuk1844−1
MT. Degreef1839−8*
MT. Aasgaard19170
ML. Ambros1978−1
FM. Stroeykens19100
FM. Cvetković18830
FM. Winkler1988−3
CVítor Bruno2083−8
Before kick-off: 53% · 25% · 22%(Dinamo Zagreb · draw · Anderlecht)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Dinamo Zagreb €4.0M, Anderlecht €3.3M.
  • Dinamo Zagreb were without 1 expected starter: Paul Bismarck Tabinas (1245).
  • Anderlecht were without 1 expected starter: I. Koutsoupias (1974).
  • HNL: D. Kotarski was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2010).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Dinamo Zagreb

3rd in HNL · 16 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLHNK Hajduk Split 1915
  • 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1956
  • 16 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva 2002
  • 12 SepLNK Osijek 2018
  • 5 SepWHNK Gorica 2040

Anderlecht

5th in Pro League · 16 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWCercle Brugge 1959
  • 19 SepWZulte Waregem 1979
  • 16 SepLLyon 1964
  • 11 SepWKV Mechelen 1950
  • 6 SepDGenk 1923

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Dinamo Zagreb1 /110.48.161.930.0
Anderlecht0 /19.14.548.846.7

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Mišić
J. Mišić

Dinamo Zagreb · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2068

C. Coosemans
C. Coosemans

Anderlecht · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2026

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mario Kovačević

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays) · Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.