Primera División · Clausura - 16
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso host Comerciantes Unidos on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Deportivo Garcilaso 46%, draw 28%, Comerciantes Unidos 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Deportivo Garcilaso €335K, Comerciantes Unidos €359K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Deportivo Garcilaso goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Deportivo Garcilaso 1621 · Comerciantes Unidos 1524
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Deportivo Garcilaso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1633
Comerciantes Unidos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1758
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Deportivo Garcilaso
4th in Primera División · 48 pts from 29
- 17 OctLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1647
- 10 OctLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1667
- 19 SepWUniversitario Peru Primera Division1618
- 13 SepLSport Boys Peru Primera Division1626
- 6 SepWAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1609
Comerciantes Unidos
14th in Primera División · 31 pts from 29
- 18 OctLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1546
- 10 OctDJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1509
- 18 SepLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1524
- 12 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1550
- 6 SepDUniversitario Peru Primera Division1536
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 48 /29 | 55.9 | 0% | 56% | 0% | 4th |
| Comerciantes Unidos | 31 /29 | 36.8 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Deportivo Garcilaso: direct (how Lisandro Greppo plays) · Comerciantes Unidos: low-volume (how J. Hernández plays)