Primera División · Clausura - 15
Cusco vs Sport Boys
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cusco host Sport Boys on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cusco 39%, draw 29%, Sport Boys 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cusco €435K, Sport Boys €300K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera División): Cusco rank #18 of 18, Sport Boys #1.
- All 11 of Cusco's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cusco goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Cusco 1618 · Sport Boys 1601
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cusco · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1654
Sport Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1652
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cusco
7th in Primera División · 45 pts from 29
- 16 OctLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1643
- 11 OctLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1666
- 19 SepWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1655
- 12 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1667
- 5 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1663
Sport Boys
11th in Primera División · 38 pts from 29
- 17 OctLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1619
- 11 OctLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1627
- 20 SepDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1639
- 13 SepWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1613
- 5 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1632
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cusco | 45 /29 | 52.6 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 6th |
| Sport Boys | 38 /29 | 45.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cusco: possession-based · low-block (how Alejandro Miguel Orfila Colmenares plays) · Sport Boys: balanced profile (how Carlos Alberto Desio plays)