NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Primera División · Clausura - 11

Cusco 1–2 Alianza Lima

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cusco crestCuscoTeam 1641
1–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Alianza Lima crestAlianza LimaTeam 1784

Match story

Cusco · draw · Alianza Lima

Before kick-off: 26% · 29% · 46%

Live chances: Cusco 0%, draw 1%, Alianza Lima 99% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 46%3' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 45%4' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 45%6' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 45%7' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 45%8' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 29%, Alianza Lima 45%9' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 45%10' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 44%11' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 44%12' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 44%13' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 44%14' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 44%15' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 44%16' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 43%17' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 43%18' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 43%19' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 31%, Alianza Lima 43%20' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 32%, Alianza Lima 43%21' · 0–0 · Cusco 26%, draw 32%, Alianza Lima 43%22' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 32%, Alianza Lima 42%23' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 32%, Alianza Lima 42%24' · 0–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 69%25' · 0–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 69%26' · 0–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 69%27' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 33%, Alianza Lima 42%28' · 0–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 69%29' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 34%, Alianza Lima 41%30' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 34%, Alianza Lima 41%31' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 34%, Alianza Lima 41%32' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 34%, Alianza Lima 40%33' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 35%, Alianza Lima 40%34' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 35%, Alianza Lima 40%35' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 35%, Alianza Lima 40%36' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 36%, Alianza Lima 40%37' · 0–0 · Cusco 25%, draw 36%, Alianza Lima 39%38' · 0–1 · Cusco 9%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 70%39' · 0–1 · Cusco 9%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 70%40' · 0–1 · Cusco 9%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 70%41' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%42' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%43' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%44' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%45' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%45+1' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%45+2' · 0–1 · Cusco 8%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 71%45+3' · 0–1 · Cusco 7%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 72%45+4' · 0–1 · Cusco 7%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 72%45+5' · 0–1 · Cusco 7%, draw 21%, Alianza Lima 72%45+6' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%45+7' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%45+8' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%HT · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%46' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%48' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%49' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%50' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%51' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%52' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%53' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%54' · 0–1 · Cusco 3%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%55' · 0–1 · Cusco 2%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 84%56' · 0–1 · Cusco 2%, draw 13%, Alianza Lima 85%56' · 1–1 · Cusco 13%, draw 41%, Alianza Lima 46%57' · 1–1 · Cusco 13%, draw 42%, Alianza Lima 45%58' · 1–1 · Cusco 13%, draw 43%, Alianza Lima 44%59' · 1–1 · Cusco 13%, draw 44%, Alianza Lima 44%60' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 45%, Alianza Lima 43%61' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 45%, Alianza Lima 42%62' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 46%, Alianza Lima 42%64' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 48%, Alianza Lima 40%65' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 49%, Alianza Lima 40%66' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 49%, Alianza Lima 39%67' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 50%, Alianza Lima 38%68' · 1–1 · Cusco 12%, draw 51%, Alianza Lima 37%69' · 1–1 · Cusco 11%, draw 52%, Alianza Lima 36%70' · 1–1 · Cusco 11%, draw 53%, Alianza Lima 36%71' · 1–1 · Cusco 11%, draw 54%, Alianza Lima 35%72' · 1–1 · Cusco 11%, draw 55%, Alianza Lima 34%73' · 1–1 · Cusco 11%, draw 56%, Alianza Lima 33%74' · 1–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 57%, Alianza Lima 32%75' · 1–1 · Cusco 10%, draw 59%, Alianza Lima 31%76' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 11%, Alianza Lima 88%77' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 10%, Alianza Lima 89%78' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 10%, Alianza Lima 89%79' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 10%, Alianza Lima 89%80' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 10%, Alianza Lima 90%81' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 9%, Alianza Lima 90%82' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 9%, Alianza Lima 90%83' · 1–2 · Cusco 1%, draw 9%, Alianza Lima 91%84' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 8%, Alianza Lima 91%85' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 8%, Alianza Lima 92%86' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 7%, Alianza Lima 92%87' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 7%, Alianza Lima 93%88' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 6%, Alianza Lima 93%89' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 6%, Alianza Lima 94%90' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 5%, Alianza Lima 95%90+1' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 5%, Alianza Lima 95%90+2' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 4%, Alianza Lima 96%90+3' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 3%, Alianza Lima 97%90+4' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 2%, Alianza Lima 98%90+5' · 1–2 · Cusco 0%, draw 1%, Alianza Lima 99%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Alianza Lima 46% to win: they did.

  1. 38'Alianza Lima:Mateo Antoni Pavon 1751 +31* assist Fernando Gaibor 1714 +19*
  2. 45'Cusco:Marlon Ruidías 1668 −12* for José Manzaneda 1627 −14*
  3. 45'Cusco:Diego Soto 1660 −19* for Carlos Diez 1641 −13*
  4. 45'Cusco:Alvaro Ampuero 1635 −16* for Nicolás Silva 1539 −16*
  5. 45+5'Alianza Lima:Jairo Vélez 1793 0*
  6. 45+5'Cusco:Aldair Fuentes 1669 −13*
  7. 56'Cusco:Diego Soto 1660 −19* assist Ricardo Lagos 1683 −40*
  8. 60'Alianza Lima:Jesús Castillo 1721 −5* for Gianfranco Chavez 1804 −1*
  9. 60'Alianza Lima:Federico Girotti 1722 −3* for Kevin Quevedo 1742 0*
  10. 73'Alianza Lima:Cristian Neira 1579 −4* for Fernando Gaibor 1714 +19*
  11. 73'Cusco:Lucas Colitto 1623 −13* for José Zevallos 1663 −15*
  12. 73'Cusco:Miguel Silveira 1490 −8* for Ivan Colman 1675 −18*
  13. 75'Alianza Lima:Alvaro Ampuero 1635 −16* (own goal)
  14. 86'Alianza Lima:Nicolás Díaz 1682 −7* for Jairo Vélez 1793 0*
  15. 86'Alianza Lima:Cristian Carbajal 1595 −7* for Erick Castillo 1796 0*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-4-2
GP. Díaz1687−18*
DJ. Zevallos1663−15*
DA. Fuentes1669−13*
DC. Gamarra1678−17*
DR. Lagos1683−40*
MJ. Montaño1655−16*
MN. Silva1539−16*
MC. Diez1641−13*
MI. Colman1675−18*
MJ. Manzaneda1627−14*
FF. Callejo1638−20*
CAlejandro Miguel Orfila Colmenares1676
GA. Duarte1773+3*
DL. Advíncula1697+29*
DR. Garcés1831+17*
DM. Antoni1751+31*
DM. Huamán1880+13*
MK. Quevedo17420*
MG. Chávez1804−1*
MF. Gaibor1714+19*
MJ. Vélez17930*
FG. Gentile1602+10*
FE. Castillo17960*
CP. Guede1816+12*
Before kick-off: 26% · 29% · 46%(Cusco · draw · Alianza Lima)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cusco €505K, Alianza Lima €658K.
  • Primera División: A. Duarte was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1770).
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Primera División): Cusco ranked #17 of 18, Alianza Lima #2.
  • Alianza Lima's expected eleven was in form: average +2.7 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of Cusco's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cusco

5th in Primera División · 45 pts from 27

  • 19 SepWFC Cajamarca 1655
  • 12 SepLFBC Melgar 1667
  • 5 SepWUCV Moquegua 1663
  • 31 AugWCienciano 1647
  • 14 AugWJuan Pablo II College 1643

Alianza Lima

1st in Primera División · 56 pts from 27

  • 19 SepWADT 1752
  • 13 SepLUniversitario 1737
  • 6 SepDJuan Pablo II College 1747
  • 30 AugLDeportivo Garcilaso 1729
  • 23 AugDFBC Melgar 1752

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cusco45 /2755.9<1%43%0%5th
Alianza Lima56 /2768.896%100%0%1st
Cusco
Alianza Lima

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Colman
I. Colman

Cusco · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1694

R. Garcés
R. Garcés

Alianza Lima · +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 1814

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alejandro Miguel Orfila Colmenares

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Pablo Adrián Guede Barriero

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cusco: possession-based · low-block (how Alejandro Miguel Orfila Colmenares plays) · Alianza Lima: balanced profile (how Pablo Adrián Guede Barriero plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.