Primera División · Clausura - 17
Cusco vs ADT
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cusco host ADT on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cusco 52%, draw 26%, ADT 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cusco €498K, ADT €252K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Primera División): Cusco rank #17 of 18, ADT #3.
- All 11 of Cusco's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cusco goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cusco 1650 · ADT 1495
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cusco · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1695
ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1508
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cusco
5th in Primera División · 51 pts from 31
- 29 OctWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1668
- 24 OctWSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1645
- 16 OctLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1643
- 11 OctLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1666
- 19 SepWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1655
ADT
15th in Primera División · 30 pts from 31
- 28 OctWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1461
- 23 OctDAtletico Grau Peru Primera Division1464
- 16 OctLClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1446
- 10 OctDFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1470
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cusco | 51 /31 | 56.1 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 4th |
| ADT | 30 /31 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cusco: possession-based (how A. Orfila plays) · ADT: balanced profile (how V. Rivera plays)