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UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1

CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Vasil Levski National Sports Academy, Sofia

CSKA Sofia crestCSKA SofiaTeam 1787
1–2
Full time
HT 0–2
Monaco crestMonacoTeam 2098

Match story

CSKA Sofia · draw · Monaco

Before kick-off: 22% · 26% · 52%

Live chances: CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 1%, Monaco 99% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · CSKA Sofia 22%, draw 26%, Monaco 52%3' · 0–0 · CSKA Sofia 22%, draw 27%, Monaco 51%4' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%6' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%7' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%8' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%9' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%10' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%11' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%12' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 10%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%13' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%14' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%15' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%16' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%17' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%18' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%19' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 72%20' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 73%21' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 73%22' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 18%, Monaco 73%23' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%24' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%26' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%27' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%28' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 9%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%29' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%30' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%31' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%32' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%33' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%34' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%36' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%37' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%38' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%39' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 8%, draw 19%, Monaco 73%41' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 7%, draw 19%, Monaco 74%42' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 7%, draw 19%, Monaco 74%43' · 0–1 · CSKA Sofia 7%, draw 19%, Monaco 74%45' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 5%, Monaco 94%45+1' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 5%, Monaco 94%45+2' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 5%, Monaco 94%HT · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 5%, Monaco 95%46' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 5%, Monaco 95%47' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%48' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%49' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%50' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%51' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%52' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%53' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%54' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 96%55' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 96%56' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 96%57' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 4%, Monaco 96%58' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 96%59' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 96%60' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 96%61' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 96%62' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%63' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%64' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%65' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%66' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%67' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%68' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 97%69' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 97%70' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%71' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%72' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%73' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%74' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%75' · 0–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%76' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 2%, draw 15%, Monaco 83%77' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 2%, draw 15%, Monaco 83%78' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 2%, draw 15%, Monaco 84%79' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 2%, draw 14%, Monaco 84%80' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 2%, draw 14%, Monaco 85%81' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 13%, Monaco 85%82' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 13%, Monaco 86%83' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 12%, Monaco 87%84' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 12%, Monaco 87%85' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 11%, Monaco 88%86' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 11%, Monaco 89%87' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 10%, Monaco 89%88' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 1%, draw 9%, Monaco 90%89' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 8%, Monaco 91%90' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 8%, Monaco 92%90+1' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 7%, Monaco 93%90+2' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 6%, Monaco 94%90+3' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 4%, Monaco 95%90+4' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 3%, Monaco 97%90+5' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 2%, Monaco 98%90+6' · 1–2 · CSKA Sofia 0%, draw 1%, Monaco 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Monaco 52% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Monaco:P. Brunner 2077 +25* assist S. Idumbo 1982 +10
  2. 43'Monaco:A. Fati 2120 +25 assist P. Brunner 2077 +25*
  3. 51'CSKA Sofia:S. Sensi 1785 −5
  4. 59'Monaco:A. Golovin 2227 0 for T. Minamino 2143 +6*
  5. 59'Monaco:D. Zakaria 2267 0 for L. Camara 2300 +4
  6. 59'Monaco:Nazinho 2148 +4 for M. Salisu 2142 +10*
  7. 64'Monaco:M. Abline 1941 +12 for S. Idumbo 1982 +10
  8. 69'CSKA Sofia:M. Ebong 1839 −5
  9. 73'CSKA Sofia:J. Zwarts 1656 −1 for L. Godoy 1763 −8*
  10. 73'CSKA Sofia:C. Itu 1510 −8* for Leo Pereira 1771 −1
  11. 76'CSKA Sofia:J. Zwarts 1656 −1 assist S. Sensi 1785 −5
  12. 77'Monaco:A. Soubeir 1793 0* for A. Fati 2120 +25
  13. 78'Monaco:E. Diop 1890 +47
  14. 85'CSKA Sofia:T. Ivanov 1821 0 for D. Almeida 1784 −12*
  15. 85'CSKA Sofia:J. Eto'o 1845 −8* for M. Ebong 1839 −5
  16. 85'CSKA Sofia:I. Solet 1764 −8* for I. Pittas 1870 −8
  17. 90+6'CSKA Sofia:A. Martino 1851 −6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GLukáš Hrádecký2272+14
DJordan Teze2213+23
DSadibou Sané2055+34
DMohammed Salisu2142+10*
DChristian Mawissa2116+22*
MLamine Camara2300+4
MStanis Idumbo Muzambo1982+10
MEdan Diop1890+47
MTakumi Minamino2143+6*
MAnsu Fati2120+25
FParis Brunner2077+25*
CFilipe Luís Kasmirski2363
Before kick-off: 22% · 26% · 52%(CSKA Sofia · draw · Monaco)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: CSKA Sofia €1.3M, Monaco €9.6M.
  • First League: F. Lapoukhov was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1909).
  • CSKA Sofia were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • Monaco were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

CSKA Sofia

2nd in First League · 27 pts from 11

  • 11 OctWCSKA 1948 1820
  • 20 SepDLokomotiv Plovdiv 1782
  • 16 SepWLokomotiv Sofia 1776
  • 12 SepWArda Kardzhali 1716
  • 5 SepDSpartak Varna 1831

Monaco

1st in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDToulouse 2127
  • 18 SepWLens 2130
  • 12 SepDStrasbourg 2135
  • 4 SepWParis Saint Germain 2109
  • 30 AugWMarseille 2067

League phase outlook

From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
CSKA Sofia0 /07.05.550.943.6
Monaco0 /010.637.057.06.0

Full league phase and chances: Conference League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Lapoukhov
F. Lapoukhov

CSKA Sofia · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1909

L. Camara
L. Camara

Monaco · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2296

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Daniel Alexandre Morales Batagello

Coach DNA: –

Filipe Luís Kasmirski

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

CSKA Sofia: creative · shot-heavy (how Daniel Alexandre Morales Batagello plays) · Monaco: balanced profile (how Filipe Luís Kasmirski plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.