UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace host Real Sociedad on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crystal Palace 45%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crystal Palace €23.1M, Real Sociedad €13.1M.
- Draw chance 28%, above the UEFA Europa League average of 22% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crystal Palace goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–27%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Crystal Palace 2221 · Real Sociedad 2214
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crystal Palace · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Average) · Elo 2260
Real Sociedad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 2288
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crystal Palace
20th in Premier League · 7 pts from 10
- 8 NovLLiverpool Premier League2238
- 5 NovD1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2230
- 31 OctLTottenham Premier League2253
- 28 OctWFulham England League Cup2170
- 25 OctLNewcastle Premier League2245
Real Sociedad
5th in La Liga · 22 pts from 12
- 8 NovWRayo Vallecano La Liga2193
- 5 NovDLyon UEFA Europa League2202
- 1 NovLAthletic Club La Liga2279
- 25 OctWLevante La Liga2233
- 22 OctWLillestrom UEFA Europa League2226
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 5 /4 | 12.7 | 21.2 | 73.5 | 5.3 |
| Real Sociedad | 5 /4 | 12.1 | 14.1 | 80.7 | 5.2 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crystal Palace: balanced profile (how Pierre Sage plays) · Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays)