UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace host 1899 Hoffenheim on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crystal Palace 56%, draw 25%, 1899 Hoffenheim 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crystal Palace €25.7M, 1899 Hoffenheim €12.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crystal Palace goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Crystal Palace 2239 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2095
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crystal Palace · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2266
1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2186
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crystal Palace
14th in Premier League · 7 pts from 7
- 22 OctDBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2249
- 18 OctLBrighton Premier League2240
- 15 OctLLyon UEFA Europa League2267
- 11 OctWNottingham Forest Premier League2238
- 20 SepDLeeds Premier League2240
1899 Hoffenheim
14th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 22 OctWLyon UEFA Europa League2078
- 18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2082
- 15 OctLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2083
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
- 20 SepLSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2076
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 4 /3 | 13.8 | 34.7 | 62.5 | 2.8 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 /3 | 10.4 | 4.7 | 72.3 | 23.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crystal Palace: balanced profile (how Pierre Sage plays) · 1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays)