Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Como vs Venezia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Como host Venezia on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Como 68%, draw 20%, Venezia 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Como €26.6M, Venezia €3.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 10: 322 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Como goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.8 pts
Team Elo: Como 2286 · Venezia 1964
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Como · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2400
Venezia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2026
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Como
5th in Serie A · 14 pts from 7
- 18 OctWFiorentina Serie A2226
- 14 OctLFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2264
- 11 OctDAS Roma Serie A2295
- 20 SepLFrosinone Serie A2303
- 14 SepWParma Serie A2271
Venezia
20th in Serie A · 3 pts from 7
- 17 OctWNapoli Serie A1953
- 12 OctLAtalanta Serie A1981
- 19 SepLLazio Serie A1970
- 11 SepLFiorentina Serie A1964
- 6 SepLFrosinone Serie A1956
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 14 /7 | 70.5 | 6% | 64% | 0% | 3rd |
| Venezia | 3 /7 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Como: possession-based (how Francesc Fàbregas i Soler plays) · Venezia: balanced profile (how Davide Nicola plays)