Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Como vs Sassuolo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Como host Sassuolo on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Como 61%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Como €26.6M, Sassuolo €8.3M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie A): Como rank #18 of 20, Sassuolo #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Como goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Como 2286 · Sassuolo 2035
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Como · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2400

Sassuolo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1967
Absences
Como
None reported
Sassuolo
Ruled out
- I. KonéBroken Leg2119
- D. BolocaMuscle Bruise1955
- Fali CandéJumpers Knee1843
- E. PieragnoloJumpers Knee1810
- Y. PazJumpers Knee1582
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Como
5th in Serie A · 14 pts from 7
- 18 OctWFiorentina Serie A2226
- 14 OctLFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2264
- 11 OctDAS Roma Serie A2295
- 20 SepLFrosinone Serie A2303
- 14 SepWParma Serie A2271
Sassuolo
12th in Serie A · 8 pts from 7
- 16 OctLFrosinone Serie A2055
- 11 OctDAC Milan Serie A2039
- 18 SepLMonza Serie A2089
- 13 SepWJuventus Serie A2052
- 6 SepDBologna Serie A1961
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 14 /7 | 70.5 | 6% | 64% | 0% | 3rd |
| Sassuolo | 8 /7 | 45.2 | 0% | <1% | 7% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Como: possession-based (how Francesc Fàbregas i Soler plays) · Sassuolo: balanced profile (how Alberto Aquilani plays)