Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Como vs Cagliari
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Como host Cagliari on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Como 71%, draw 18%, Cagliari 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Como €20.1M, Cagliari €4.9M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Serie A): Como rank #3 of 20, Cagliari #20.
- Como's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Como goals first.
- 2–013%
- 1–011%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 1–19%
- 3–17%
- Other scores41%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.2 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.2 pts
Team Elo: Como 2331 · Cagliari 1967
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Como · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2455
Cagliari · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2123
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Como
5th in Serie A · 23 pts from 11
- 8 NovLInter Serie A2367
- 4 NovWLens UEFA Champions League2333
- 1 NovWVenezia Serie A2312
- 27 OctWTorino Serie A2319
- 24 OctWSassuolo Serie A2236
Cagliari
9th in Serie A · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovWFrosinone Serie A1881
- 1 NovLLazio Serie A2020
- 27 OctLAS Roma Serie A2033
- 24 OctLBologna Serie A1999
- 19 OctLMonza Serie A2037
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 23 /11 | 74.7 | 7% | 71% | 0% | 3rd |
| Cagliari | 16 /11 | 43.1 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Como: possession-based (how Cesc Fàbregas plays) · Cagliari: direct (how Fabio Pisacane plays)