Primera División · Clausura - 17
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes Unidos host Sport Boys on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Comerciantes Unidos 32%, draw 29%, Sport Boys 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Comerciantes Unidos €347K, Sport Boys €308K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Comerciantes Unidos goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Comerciantes Unidos 1550 · Sport Boys 1608
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Comerciantes Unidos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1639
Sport Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1666
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Comerciantes Unidos
13th in Primera División · 35 pts from 31
- 30 OctDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1531
- 25 OctWCienciano Peru Primera Division1503
- 18 OctLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1546
- 10 OctDJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1509
- 18 SepLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1524
Sport Boys
11th in Primera División · 41 pts from 30
- 25 OctWFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1576
- 17 OctLJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1619
- 11 OctLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1627
- 20 SepDFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1639
- 13 SepWDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera Division1613
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 35 /31 | 39.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Sport Boys | 41 /30 | 46.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Comerciantes Unidos: balanced profile (how C. Biaggio plays) · Sport Boys: balanced profile (how C. Desio plays)