Primera División · Clausura - 11
Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Juan Pablo II College
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes UnidosTeam 1504
Juan Pablo II CollegeTeam 1493Match story
Comerciantes Unidos · draw · Juan Pablo II CollegeBefore kick-off: 37% · 31% · 32%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 99% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Rodrigo Vilca 89'
- Pablo Miguez 63'
We gave Comerciantes Unidos 37% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Matías Eric Sen 1480 −14*32'
Comerciantes Unidos:Matías Eric Sen 1480 −14* - 32'Pablo Miguez 1479 −18*
Juan Pablo II College:Pablo Miguez 1479 −18* - Jean Olivares 1448 −8* for Maximiliano Pérez 1447 −10*45'
Comerciantes Unidos:Jean Olivares 1448 −8* for Maximiliano Pérez 1447 −10* - Rodrigo Vilca 1578 −8* for Mathias Carpio 1459 −8*45'
Comerciantes Unidos:Rodrigo Vilca 1578 −8* for Mathias Carpio 1459 −8* - 45'Nilton Ramirez 1538 −7* for J. Torres 1302 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Nilton Ramirez 1538 −7* for J. Torres 1302 −7* - 63'Pablo Miguez 1479 −18* assist Paolo Reyna 1792 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Pablo Miguez 1479 −18* assist Paolo Reyna 1792 −7* - 66'Paolo Reyna 1792 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Paolo Reyna 1792 −7* - Wilter Ayovi 1567 −9* for Yimy Gamero 1613 −8*67'
Comerciantes Unidos:Wilter Ayovi 1567 −9* for Yimy Gamero 1613 −8* - 69'Nilton Ramirez 1538 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Nilton Ramirez 1538 −7* - 75'Jack·Duran 1515 −14* for Álvaro Rojas 1571 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Jack·Duran 1515 −14* for Álvaro Rojas 1571 −7* - 75'Mateo Rodríguez 1536 −7* for Janio Pósito 1454 −16*
Juan Pablo II College:Mateo Rodríguez 1536 −7* for Janio Pósito 1454 −16* - 82'Adan Hendricks Ayarza 1262 −7* for Juan Pablo Goicochea 1555 −7*
Juan Pablo II College:Adan Hendricks Ayarza 1262 −7* for Juan Pablo Goicochea 1555 −7* - 82'Héctor Bazán 1144 −7* for Erinson Ramirez 1613 −8*
Juan Pablo II College:Héctor Bazán 1144 −7* for Erinson Ramirez 1613 −8* - Wilter Ayovi 1567 −9*84'
Comerciantes Unidos:Wilter Ayovi 1567 −9* - Josuee Herrera 1161 −8* for Daniel Lino 1617 −8*87'
Comerciantes Unidos:Josuee Herrera 1161 −8* for Daniel Lino 1617 −8* - Flavio Alcedo 1594 −8* for Paolo Fuentes 1497 −10*87'
Comerciantes Unidos:Flavio Alcedo 1594 −8* for Paolo Fuentes 1497 −10* - Rodrigo Vilca 1578 −8* assist Josuee Herrera 1161 −8*89'
Comerciantes Unidos:Rodrigo Vilca 1578 −8* assist Josuee Herrera 1161 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 31% · 32%(Comerciantes Unidos · draw · Juan Pablo II College)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Comerciantes Unidos €324K, Juan Pablo II College €278K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primera División): Comerciantes Unidos ranked #16 of 18, Juan Pablo II College #1.
- Juan Pablo II College were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Comerciantes Unidos
14th in Primera División · 30 pts from 27
- 18 SepLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1524
- 12 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1550
- 6 SepDUniversitario Peru Primera Division1536
- 28 AugLFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1539
- 22 AugWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1508
Juan Pablo II College
12th in Primera División · 34 pts from 27
- 20 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1554
- 11 SepWUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1532
- 6 SepDAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1532
- 29 AugWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1488
- 22 AugWADT Peru Primera Division1436
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 30 /27 | 38.1 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 14th |
| Juan Pablo II College | 34 /27 | 42.5 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Comerciantes Unidos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1457

Juan Pablo II College · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1798
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Comerciantes Unidos: low-volume (how José Eugenio Hernández Sarmiento plays) · Juan Pablo II College: balanced profile (how Jorge Martín Araujo Paredes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.