Primera División · Clausura - 15
Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes Unidos host ADT on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Comerciantes Unidos 43%, draw 28%, ADT 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Comerciantes Unidos €331K, ADT €225K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Comerciantes Unidos rank #18 of 18, ADT #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Comerciantes Unidos goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Comerciantes Unidos 1525 · ADT 1464
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Comerciantes Unidos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1747
ADT · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1494
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Comerciantes Unidos
14th in Primera División · 31 pts from 29
- 18 OctLSporting Cristal Peru Primera Division1546
- 10 OctDJuan Pablo II College Peru Primera Division1509
- 18 SepLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1524
- 12 SepLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1550
- 6 SepDUniversitario Peru Primera Division1536
ADT
17th in Primera División · 26 pts from 29
- 16 OctLClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1446
- 10 OctDFC Cajamarca Peru Primera Division1470
- 23 SepWCienciano Peru Primera Division1440
- 19 SepLAlianza Lima Peru Primera Division1501
- 6 SepLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1481
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 31 /29 | 36.8 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 14th |
| ADT | 26 /29 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Comerciantes Unidos: low-volume (how José Eugenio Hernández Sarmiento plays) · ADT: balanced profile (how Víctor Hugo Rivera Coronado plays)