UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 5
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV host Liverpool on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Club Brugge KV 30%, draw 29%, Liverpool 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Club Brugge KV €11.4M, Liverpool €45.9M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the UEFA Champions League average of 22% this round.
- Pro League: Y. Sommer is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2329).
- Club Brugge KV's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 over 180 days.
- Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Club Brugge KV goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–26%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Club Brugge KV 2210 · Liverpool 2402
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Club Brugge KV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Good) · Elo 2330
Liverpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2427
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Club Brugge KV
2nd in Pro League · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovDAnderlecht Belgium Pro League2224
- 4 NovWPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2269
- 30 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League2260
- 25 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League2254
- 21 OctWLens UEFA Champions League2226
Liverpool
4th in Premier League · 18 pts from 10
- 8 NovWCrystal Palace Premier League2498
- 4 NovLFenerbahçe UEFA Champions League2330
- 1 NovLArsenal Premier League2441
- 28 OctDChelsea England League Cup2228
- 25 OctWBrighton Premier League2500
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 9 /4 | 14.5 | 31.5 | 67.6 | 0.8 |
| Liverpool | 9 /4 | 15.7 | 52.5 | 47.4 | 0.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Club Brugge KV: possession-based · creative (how Ivan Leko plays) · Liverpool: creative · possession-based (how Andoni Iraola plays)