J1 League · Regular Season - 9
Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Yokohama F. Marinos
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka
Cerezo OsakaTeam 1712
Yokohama F. MarinosTeam 1691We gave Cerezo Osaka 42% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Javi Hernández10'
Cerezo Osaka:Javi Hernández - Ayumu Ohata26'
Cerezo Osaka:Ayumu Ohata - Jackson Irvine50'
Cerezo Osaka:Jackson Irvine - Javi Hernández off53'
Cerezo Osaka:Javi Hernández off - Lucas Fernandes off62'
Cerezo Osaka:Lucas Fernandes off - 66'Takuto Kimura
Yokohama F. Marinos:Takuto Kimura - Yumeki Yokoyama off71'
Cerezo Osaka:Yumeki Yokoyama off - Pablo Sabbag off72'
Cerezo Osaka:Pablo Sabbag off - 75'Jun Amano off
Yokohama F. Marinos:Jun Amano off - 75'Ryo Miyaichi off
Yokohama F. Marinos:Ryo Miyaichi off - 82'Kaina Tanimura off
Yokohama F. Marinos:Kaina Tanimura off - 82'Tomoki Kondo off
Yokohama F. Marinos:Tomoki Kondo off - 89'Kosuke Matsumura off
Yokohama F. Marinos:Kosuke Matsumura off - Shinji Kagawa90+2'
Cerezo Osaka:Shinji Kagawa
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%(Cerezo Osaka · draw · Yokohama F. Marinos)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cerezo Osaka €709K, Yokohama F. Marinos €609K.
- Home advantage made Cerezo Osaka the favourite: it added 5 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Cerezo Osaka's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cerezo Osaka
11th in J1 League · 11 pts from 8
- 19 SepDV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1725
- 12 SepLSanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League1773
- 6 SepDTokyo Verdy J1 League1735
- 2 SepWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1718
- 29 AugLVissel Kobe J1 League1740
Yokohama F. Marinos
6th in J1 League · 14 pts from 8
- 19 SepWMito Hollyhock J1 League1690
- 12 SepDMachida Zelvia J1 League1733
- 6 SepWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1657
- 2 SepDKyoto Sanga J1 League1693
- 29 AugLUrawa J1 League1719
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 11 /8 | 52.2 | <1% | 4% | 2% | 10th |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 /8 | 56.8 | 1% | 14% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Cerezo Osaka · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1783

Yokohama F. Marinos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1839
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cerezo Osaka: possession-based (how Pablo Javier Machín Díez plays) · Yokohama F. Marinos: possession-based (how Stephen Christopher Corica plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.