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J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka crestCerezo OsakaTeam 1701
2–4
Full time
HT 1–2
Kawasaki Frontale crestKawasaki FrontaleTeam 1676

Match story

Cerezo Osaka · draw · Kawasaki Frontale

Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%

Live chances: Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%2' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%3' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%4' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%5' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%6' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%7' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%8' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%9' · 0–0 · Cerezo Osaka 42%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%10' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 51%11' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 52%12' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 52%13' · 0–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 13%, Kawasaki Frontale 81%14' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 52%15' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 52%16' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 52%17' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 53%18' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 22%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 53%20' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 53%20' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%21' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%22' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%23' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%24' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%26' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 9%, draw 18%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%28' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%29' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%30' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%31' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%32' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 73%33' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%34' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%35' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%36' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 8%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%37' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%38' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%39' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%40' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%41' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%42' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 74%43' · 0–1 · Cerezo Osaka 7%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%44' · 1–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 37%, Kawasaki Frontale 42%45' · 1–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 37%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%45+1' · 1–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 38%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%45+2' · 1–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 38%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%45+3' · 1–1 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 38%, Kawasaki Frontale 41%45+4' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%45+5' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%45+6' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%45+7' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%45+8' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%HT · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%47' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 75%48' · 1–2 · Cerezo Osaka 6%, draw 19%, Kawasaki Frontale 76%49' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 21%, draw 40%, Kawasaki Frontale 39%50' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 41%, Kawasaki Frontale 39%51' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 41%, Kawasaki Frontale 39%52' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 42%, Kawasaki Frontale 38%53' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 42%, Kawasaki Frontale 38%54' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 43%, Kawasaki Frontale 37%55' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 20%, draw 44%, Kawasaki Frontale 37%56' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 19%, draw 44%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%57' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 19%, draw 45%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%58' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 19%, draw 46%, Kawasaki Frontale 35%59' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 19%, draw 46%, Kawasaki Frontale 35%60' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 18%, draw 47%, Kawasaki Frontale 34%61' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 18%, draw 48%, Kawasaki Frontale 34%62' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 18%, draw 49%, Kawasaki Frontale 33%63' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 18%, draw 49%, Kawasaki Frontale 33%64' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 18%, draw 50%, Kawasaki Frontale 32%65' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 17%, draw 51%, Kawasaki Frontale 32%66' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 17%, draw 52%, Kawasaki Frontale 31%67' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 17%, draw 53%, Kawasaki Frontale 31%68' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 17%, draw 53%, Kawasaki Frontale 30%69' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 16%, draw 54%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%70' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 16%, draw 55%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%71' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 16%, draw 56%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%72' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 15%, draw 57%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%73' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 15%, draw 58%, Kawasaki Frontale 27%74' · 2–2 · Cerezo Osaka 15%, draw 59%, Kawasaki Frontale 26%75' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 2%, draw 15%, Kawasaki Frontale 84%76' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 2%, draw 14%, Kawasaki Frontale 84%77' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 2%, draw 14%, Kawasaki Frontale 84%78' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 2%, draw 13%, Kawasaki Frontale 85%79' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 13%, Kawasaki Frontale 86%80' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 13%, Kawasaki Frontale 86%81' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 12%, Kawasaki Frontale 87%82' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 12%, Kawasaki Frontale 87%83' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 11%, Kawasaki Frontale 88%84' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 11%, Kawasaki Frontale 88%85' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 10%, Kawasaki Frontale 89%86' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 10%, Kawasaki Frontale 90%87' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 1%, draw 9%, Kawasaki Frontale 90%88' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 8%, Kawasaki Frontale 91%89' · 2–3 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 8%, Kawasaki Frontale 92%90' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+1' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+2' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+3' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+4' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+5' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+6' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+7' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%90+8' · 2–4 · Cerezo Osaka 0%, draw 0%, Kawasaki Frontale 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Cerezo Osaka 43% to win: Kawasaki Frontale won.

  1. 10'Kawasaki Frontale:Pedro Romano 1645 +33 assist Sota Miura 1752 +45
  2. 19'Cerezo Osaka:Ayumu Ohata 1752 −3
  3. 31'Kawasaki Frontale:Reon Yamahara 1743 +9 for Asahi Sasaki 1752 +5
  4. 36'Kawasaki Frontale:Pedro Romano 1645 +33
  5. 41'Kawasaki Frontale:Reon Yamahara 1743 +9
  6. 43'Cerezo Osaka:Lucas Fernandes 1663 −8 (pen.)
  7. 45'Kawasaki Frontale:Yuichi Maruyama 1603 −5* for Pedro Romano 1645 +33
  8. 45+3'Kawasaki Frontale:Kento Tachibanada 1753 +41 assist Reon Yamahara 1743 +9
  9. 48'Cerezo Osaka:Yota Komi 1635 −1 assist Shunta Tanaka 1733 −40
  10. 53'Cerezo Osaka:Jackson Irvine 1768 −21
  11. 65'Cerezo Osaka:Pablo Sabbag 1609 −1
  12. 66'Cerezo Osaka:Solomon Sakuragawa 1724 −10* for Pablo Sabbag 1609 −1
  13. 74'Kawasaki Frontale:Yasuto Wakizaka 1748 +42 assist Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa 1712 +12
  14. 75'Kawasaki Frontale:Yuto Ozeki 1598 +11 for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa 1712 +12
  15. 76'Cerezo Osaka:Shinji Kagawa 1372 −11 for Lucas Fernandes 1663 −8
  16. 76'Cerezo Osaka:Yumeki Yokoyama 1596 0 for Yota Komi 1635 −1
  17. 85'Cerezo Osaka:Kosei Okazawa 1416 0 for Jackson Irvine 1768 −21
  18. 86'Kawasaki Frontale:Yu Kobayashi 1086 −17* for Derik Lacerda 1708 +17
  19. 87'Kawasaki Frontale:So Kawahara 1697 −8* for Kento Tachibanada 1753 +41
  20. 89'Kawasaki Frontale:Yuto Ozeki 1598 +11 assist So Kawahara 1697 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GKosuke Nakamura1753−15*
DDion-Johan Cools1742−15
DT. Takahashi14760
DR. Inoue1752−16
MH. Okuda1721−11
MS. Tanaka1733−40
MJ. Irvine1768−21
MA. Ohata1752−3
MLucas Fernandes1663−8
MY. Komi1635−1
FP. Sabbag1609−1
CPablo Machín1686−13
GS. Brodersen1750+15
DA. Sasaki1752+5
DPedro Romano1645+33
DF. Uremović1757+13
DS. Miura1752+45
MK. Tachibanada1753+41
MY. Yamamoto1794+32
MT. Ito1758+12
MY. Wakizaka1748+42
MMarcinho1712+12
FDerik Lacerda1708+17
CS. Hasebe1746+30
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(Cerezo Osaka · draw · Kawasaki Frontale)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–4 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cerezo Osaka €585K, Kawasaki Frontale €847K.
  • All 11 of Cerezo Osaka's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • All 11 of Kawasaki Frontale's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cerezo Osaka

12th in J1 League · 12 pts from 9

  • 10 OctDYokohama F. Marinos 1742
  • 19 SepDV-varen Nagasaki 1725
  • 12 SepLSanfrecce Hiroshima 1773
  • 6 SepDTokyo Verdy 1735
  • 2 SepWKashiwa Reysol 1718

Kawasaki Frontale

8th in J1 League · 13 pts from 9

  • 11 OctLNagoya Grampus 1734
  • 19 SepDKashima 1727
  • 12 SepWMito Hollyhock 1693
  • 6 SepWShimizu S-pulse 1689
  • 2 SepLMachida Zelvia 1710

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cerezo Osaka12 /951.0<1%2%2%10th
Kawasaki Frontale13 /951.30%3%2%9th
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Tanaka
S. Tanaka

Cerezo Osaka · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1774

Y. Yamamoto
Y. Yamamoto

Kawasaki Frontale · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1762

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pablo Javier Machín Díez

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Shigetoshi Hasebe

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cerezo Osaka: possession-based (how Pablo Javier Machín Díez plays) · Kawasaki Frontale: balanced profile (how Shigetoshi Hasebe plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.