UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Celtic vs Beşiktaş
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow
Celtic host Beşiktaş on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celtic 35%, draw 29%, Beşiktaş 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celtic €3.5M, Beşiktaş €10.1M.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2160).
- Süper Lig: L. Trossard is the highest-rated midfielder (2450).
- All 11 of Beşiktaş's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celtic goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Celtic 2088 · Beşiktaş 2206
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Beşiktaş · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2450
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 24 pts from 9
- 22 OctLCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2025
- 18 OctWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership2005
- 15 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League2055
- 11 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership2070
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
Beşiktaş
5th in Süper Lig · 15 pts from 8
- 22 OctDCrystal Palace UEFA Europa League2115
- 19 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig2252
- 15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2200
- 11 OctWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2242
- 20 SepLAmed Turkey Super Lig2223
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 0 /3 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 41.1 | 58.6 |
| Beşiktaş | 7 /3 | 15.5 | 54.5 | 45.1 | 0.4 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celtic: possession-based · creative (how M. O'Neill plays) · Beşiktaş: possession-based (how Vincenzo Italiano plays)