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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Celta Vigo 1–2 Juventus

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo

Celta Vigo crestCelta VigoTeam 2019
1–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Juventus crestJuventusTeam 2266

Match story

Celta Vigo · draw · Juventus

Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%

Live chances: Celta Vigo 0%, draw 3%, Juventus 97% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 28%, Juventus 46%2' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 28%, Juventus 46%3' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 28%, Juventus 46%4' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 46%5' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 46%6' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 45%7' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 45%8' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 45%9' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 45%10' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 29%, Juventus 45%11' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 30%, Juventus 45%12' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 30%, Juventus 45%13' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 30%, Juventus 44%14' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 30%, Juventus 44%15' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 30%, Juventus 44%16' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 31%, Juventus 44%17' · 0–0 · Celta Vigo 26%, draw 31%, Juventus 44%18' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 55%, draw 26%, Juventus 19%19' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 55%, draw 26%, Juventus 19%20' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 56%, draw 26%, Juventus 19%21' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 56%, draw 26%, Juventus 19%22' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 56%, draw 26%, Juventus 18%23' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 56%, draw 26%, Juventus 18%24' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 56%, draw 26%, Juventus 18%25' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 57%, draw 26%, Juventus 18%26' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 57%, draw 26%, Juventus 17%27' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 57%, draw 26%, Juventus 17%28' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 57%, draw 26%, Juventus 17%29' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 57%, draw 26%, Juventus 17%30' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 58%, draw 26%, Juventus 17%31' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 58%, draw 26%, Juventus 16%32' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 58%, draw 26%, Juventus 16%33' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 58%, draw 26%, Juventus 16%34' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 59%, draw 26%, Juventus 16%35' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 59%, draw 26%, Juventus 15%36' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 59%, draw 26%, Juventus 15%37' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 59%, draw 26%, Juventus 15%38' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 59%, draw 26%, Juventus 15%39' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 60%, draw 26%, Juventus 14%40' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 60%, draw 26%, Juventus 14%41' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 60%, draw 26%, Juventus 14%42' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 61%, draw 26%, Juventus 14%43' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 61%, draw 26%, Juventus 13%44' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 61%, draw 26%, Juventus 13%45' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 61%, draw 26%, Juventus 13%45+1' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 62%, draw 26%, Juventus 13%HT · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 62%, draw 26%, Juventus 12%46' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 63%, draw 26%, Juventus 12%47' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 63%, draw 26%, Juventus 12%48' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 63%, draw 26%, Juventus 11%49' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 63%, draw 25%, Juventus 11%50' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 64%, draw 25%, Juventus 11%51' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 64%, draw 25%, Juventus 10%52' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 65%, draw 25%, Juventus 10%53' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 65%, draw 25%, Juventus 10%54' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 65%, draw 25%, Juventus 10%55' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 66%, draw 25%, Juventus 9%56' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 66%, draw 25%, Juventus 9%57' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 67%, draw 25%, Juventus 9%58' · 1–0 · Celta Vigo 67%, draw 24%, Juventus 8%59' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 21%, draw 47%, Juventus 31%60' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 21%, draw 48%, Juventus 31%61' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 21%, draw 49%, Juventus 30%62' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 21%, draw 49%, Juventus 30%63' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 20%, draw 50%, Juventus 29%64' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 20%, draw 51%, Juventus 29%65' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 20%, draw 52%, Juventus 28%66' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 20%, draw 53%, Juventus 28%67' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 19%, draw 53%, Juventus 27%68' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 19%, draw 54%, Juventus 27%69' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 19%, draw 55%, Juventus 26%70' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 18%, draw 56%, Juventus 26%71' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 18%, draw 57%, Juventus 25%72' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 18%, draw 58%, Juventus 25%73' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 17%, draw 59%, Juventus 24%74' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 17%, draw 60%, Juventus 23%75' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 16%, draw 61%, Juventus 23%76' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 16%, draw 62%, Juventus 22%77' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 15%, draw 63%, Juventus 21%78' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 15%, draw 65%, Juventus 20%79' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 14%, draw 66%, Juventus 20%80' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 14%, draw 67%, Juventus 19%81' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 13%, draw 69%, Juventus 18%82' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 13%, draw 70%, Juventus 17%83' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 12%, draw 71%, Juventus 16%84' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 12%, draw 73%, Juventus 16%85' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 11%, draw 74%, Juventus 15%86' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 10%, draw 76%, Juventus 14%87' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 10%, draw 78%, Juventus 13%88' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 9%, draw 80%, Juventus 12%89' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 8%, draw 82%, Juventus 10%90' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 7%, draw 84%, Juventus 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 6%, draw 86%, Juventus 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Celta Vigo 5%, draw 88%, Juventus 7%90+3' · 1–2 · Celta Vigo 0%, draw 5%, Juventus 95%90+4' · 1–2 · Celta Vigo 0%, draw 3%, Juventus 97%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Juventus 46% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Celta Vigo:Hugo Alvarez Antunez 2100 −12 assist Williot Swedberg 2132 −11
  2. 39'Celta Vigo:Williot Swedberg 2132 −11
  3. 54'Juventus:Lloyd Kelly 2247 +1*
  4. 58'Juventus:Nick Woltemade 2370 +21
  5. 62'Celta Vigo:Couhaib Driouech 1904 0 for Williot Swedberg 2132 −11
  6. 64'Juventus:Nicolás Iván Gonzalez 2275 +2 for Francisco Conceicao 2316 +7
  7. 64'Juventus:Randal Kolo Muani 2281 +7 for Kerim Alajbegovic 1997 +15
  8. 70'Juventus:Gleison Bremer 2262 +1 for Federico Gatti 2207 +19*
  9. 70'Juventus:Jhon Lucumi 2334 +1 for Lloyd Kelly 2247 +1*
  10. 72'Juventus:Jhon Lucumi 2334 +1
  11. 75'Celta Vigo:Hugo Burcio 1803 0 for Aleix Febas 2010 −3
  12. 75'Celta Vigo:Iago Aspas 1629 −21* for Ferran Jutglà 2108 −5
  13. 82'Juventus:Douglas Luiz Soares 2275 0 for Teun Koopmeiners 2198 +15
  14. 84'Celta Vigo:Ilaix Moriba 2192 −9
  15. 85'Celta Vigo:Hugo González 1537 −8* for Hugo Alvarez Antunez 2100 −12
  16. 85'Celta Vigo:Álvaro Núñez 2120 −1 for Javier Rueda García 2034 −1
  17. 90+2'Juventus:Randal Kolo Muani 2281 +7 assist Andrea Cambiaso 2297 +27

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-2-3-1
GI. Radu2136−6
DJavi Rodríguez2199−17*
DYoel Lago19840
DMarcos Alonso2035−9
MJavi Rueda2034−1
MAleix Febas2010−3
MI. Moriba2192−9
MSergio Carreira2155−7
FHugo Álvarez2100−12
FFerran Jutglà2108−5
FW. Swedberg2132−11
CClaudio Giráldez2136−12
GG. Vicario2320+9
DP. Kalulu2385+19
DF. Gatti2207+19*
DL. Kelly2247+1*
DA. Cambiaso2297+27
MP. Sarr2302+27
MT. Koopmeiners2198+15
MFrancisco Conceição2316+7
MW. McKennie2292+9
MKerim-Sam Alajbegović1997+15
FN. Woltemade2370+21
CL. Spalletti2268+20
Before kick-off: 26% · 28% · 46%(Celta Vigo · draw · Juventus)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Celta Vigo €8.4M, Juventus €23.6M.
  • Celta Vigo were without 2 expected starters: Miguel Román (2078) and Pablo Durán (2080).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Celta Vigo

9th in La Liga · 8 pts from 8

  • 11 OctDElche 2089
  • 19 SepWRacing Santander 2031
  • 16 SepLOmonia Nicosia 2078
  • 13 SepDMalaga 2039
  • 7 SepDGetafe 1948

Juventus

6th in Serie A · 11 pts from 6

  • 11 OctDCagliari 2300
  • 20 SepWAtalanta 2238
  • 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen 2223
  • 13 SepLSassuolo 2232
  • 6 SepDAC Milan 2249

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Celta Vigo0 /110.49.161.629.3
Juventus3 /116.268.930.01.1

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso

Celta Vigo · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2044

Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição

Juventus · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2309

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Claudio Giráldez González

Coach DNA: low-block · possession-based

Luciano Spalletti

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Celta Vigo: balanced profile (how Claudio Giráldez González plays) · Juventus: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Luciano Spalletti plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.