UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Celta Vigo host Bournemouth on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celta Vigo 23%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celta Vigo €7.7M, Bournemouth €27.7M.
- Bournemouth have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celta Vigo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–111%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Celta Vigo 2056 · Bournemouth 2352
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celta Vigo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2005
Bournemouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2448
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celta Vigo
11th in La Liga · 13 pts from 12
- 8 NovDLevante La Liga2004
- 5 NovLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League2080
- 31 OctLRayo Vallecano La Liga2060
- 25 OctDReal Betis La Liga2045
- 22 OctWCeltic UEFA Europa League2024
Bournemouth
7th in Premier League · 15 pts from 10
- 8 NovWIpswich Premier League2365
- 5 NovWSparta Praha UEFA Europa League2225
- 31 OctWLeeds Premier League2341
- 28 OctWAston Villa England League Cup2212
- 25 OctWManchester United Premier League2307
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 3 /4 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 55.0 | 44.3 |
| Bournemouth | 12 /4 | 21.6 | 99.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celta Vigo: balanced profile (how Claudio Giráldez plays) · Bournemouth: balanced profile (how Marco Rose plays)