UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadion Z’dežele, Celje
Celje host Red Bull Salzburg on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Celje 29%, draw 28%, Red Bull Salzburg 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Celje €948K, Red Bull Salzburg €2.5M.
- 1. SNL: Ž. Žužek is the highest-rated defender (1955).
- Bundesliga: K. Boma is the highest-rated defender (2032).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Celje goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Celje 1728 · Red Bull Salzburg 1931
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celje · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1955
Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2032
Absences
Celje
None reported
Red Bull Salzburg
Ruled out
- N. VeratschnigKnee Injury1983
- A. ChaseOff the roster1686
- E. AguilarMuscle Injury1497
Doubtful
- K. KonatéInjury1931
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celje
6th in 1. SNL · 16 pts from 11
- 15 OctLOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1760
- 16 SepLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1757
- 26 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1697
- 19 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1701
- 11 AugWArarat-Armenia UEFA Champions League1733
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd in Bundesliga · 21 pts from 9
- 18 OctWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1934
- 15 OctLAC Milan UEFA Europa League1955
- 10 OctDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1939
- 20 SepWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1910
- 17 SepWLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1918
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 0 /2 | 6.4 | 0.2 | 21.8 | 78.0 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 3 /2 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 72.0 | 22.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celje: balanced profile (how Zoran Zeljković plays) · Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays)