UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Celje 0–3 Omonia Nicosia
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Z’dežele, Celje
CeljeTeam 1733Omonia NicosiaTeam 1847Match story
Celje · draw · Omonia NicosiaBefore kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jaden Sean Montnor 16'
- Muamer Tanković 59'
- Senou Coulibaly 84'
We gave Omonia Nicosia 36% to win: they did.
- Artemijus Tutyskinas 1844 −13*13'Celje:Artemijus Tutyskinas 1844 −13*
- 16'Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56 assist Ewandro 1968 +44Omonia Nicosia:Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56 assist Ewandro 1968 +44
- Łukasz Bejger 1817 −9*33'Celje:Łukasz Bejger 1817 −9*
- Mario Kvesić 1700 −14* for Luka Vesner Ticic 1615 −8*45'Celje:Mario Kvesić 1700 −14* for Luka Vesner Ticic 1615 −8*
- Mario Kvesić 1700 −14*52'Celje:Mario Kvesić 1700 −14*
- 59'Muamer Tanković 1909 +39 assist Jean-Kevin Duverne 1988 +43Omonia Nicosia:Muamer Tanković 1909 +39 assist Jean-Kevin Duverne 1988 +43
- Benjamin Verbič 1710 −12* for Yaya Dukuly 1642 −8*62'Celje:Benjamin Verbič 1710 −12* for Yaya Dukuly 1642 −8*
- Alpha Richard·Diounkou 1888 −11* for Łukasz Bejger 1817 −9*62'Celje:Alpha Richard·Diounkou 1888 −11* for Łukasz Bejger 1817 −9*
- A. Kučys 1747 0 for Papa Daniel 1376 −8*62'Celje:A. Kučys 1747 0 for Papa Daniel 1376 −8*
- 69'Andronikos Kakoullis 1758 +7 for Loïs Diony 1746 +18Omonia Nicosia:Andronikos Kakoullis 1758 +7 for Loïs Diony 1746 +18
- 69'Florin Tănase 1690 +4 for Muamer Tanković 1909 +39Omonia Nicosia:Florin Tănase 1690 +4 for Muamer Tanković 1909 +39
- 69'Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56Omonia Nicosia:Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56
- Leonardo Koutris 1820 −11* for Milot Avdyli 1716 073'Celje:Leonardo Koutris 1820 −11* for Milot Avdyli 1716 0
- 75'Mihlali Mayambela 1787 −5* for Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56Omonia Nicosia:Mihlali Mayambela 1787 −5* for Jaden Sean Montnor 1852 +56
- Benjamin Verbič 1710 −12*82'Celje:Benjamin Verbič 1710 −12*
- 83'Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42Omonia Nicosia:Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42
- 84'Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42 assist Mihlali Mayambela 1787 −5*Omonia Nicosia:Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42 assist Mihlali Mayambela 1787 −5*
- 89'Loïc Nego 1742 −15* for Ewandro 1968 +44Omonia Nicosia:Loïc Nego 1742 −15* for Ewandro 1968 +44
- 89'Stefan Simić 1604 −10* for Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42Omonia Nicosia:Stefan Simić 1604 −10* for Senou Coulibaly 1976 +42
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Celje · draw · Omonia Nicosia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Celje €952K, Omonia Nicosia €1.3M.
- 1. SNL: M. Zabukovnik was the highest-rated midfielder (1894).
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka was the highest-rated defender (2060).
- Omonia Nicosia were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Celje
6th in 1. SNL · 15 pts from 10
- 16 SepLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1757
- 26 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1697
- 19 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1701
- 11 AugWArarat-Armenia UEFA Champions League1733
- 4 AugLArarat-Armenia UEFA Champions League1686
Omonia Nicosia
3rd in 1. Division · 11 pts from 5
- 9 OctWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1890
- 20 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1883
- 16 SepWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League1860
- 12 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1860
- 7 SepWAris Cypriot First Division1848
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 0 /1 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 35.7 | 62.5 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 3 /1 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 50.4 | 45.6 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Celje · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1985
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1801
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Celje: balanced profile (how Vítor Fernando de Carvalho Campelos plays) · Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how Henning Stille Berg plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.