Serie A · Regular Season - 6
Cagliari 1–1 Juventus
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Unipol Domus, Cagliari
CagliariTeam 1957JuventusTeam 2287- Daniel Maldini 20'
We gave Juventus 61% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 17'Weston McKennie 2283 −10*Juventus:Weston McKennie 2283 −10*
- Daniel Maldini 2076 +13 assist Paul Mendy 1875 +14*20'Cagliari:Daniel Maldini 2076 +13 assist Paul Mendy 1875 +14*
- 45'Kerim Alajbegovic 1982 0 for Weston McKennie 2283 −10*Juventus:Kerim Alajbegovic 1982 0 for Weston McKennie 2283 −10*
- 45'Edon Zhegrova 2107 −1 for Francisco Conceicao 2309 −3Juventus:Edon Zhegrova 2107 −1 for Francisco Conceicao 2309 −3
- Alessandro Deiola 2042 −7* for Juan Rodriguez 1960 −3*45'Cagliari:Alessandro Deiola 2042 −7* for Juan Rodriguez 1960 −3*
- Juan Rodriguez 1960 −3*45+1'Cagliari:Juan Rodriguez 1960 −3*
- Alieu Fadera 1991 −5* for Yanis Massolin 1688 +18*60'Cagliari:Alieu Fadera 1991 −5* for Yanis Massolin 1688 +18*
- 60'Nick Woltemade 2349 −1 for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez 2273 −10*Juventus:Nick Woltemade 2349 −1 for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez 2273 −10*
- 64'Andrea Cambiaso 2270 −8* for Zeki Çelik 2257 −5Juventus:Andrea Cambiaso 2270 −8* for Zeki Çelik 2257 −5
- Yukinari Sugawara 2108 −6* for Daniel Maldini 2076 +1369'Cagliari:Yukinari Sugawara 2108 −6* for Daniel Maldini 2076 +13
- M'Bala Nzola 1968 −8* for Paul Mendy 1875 +14*69'Cagliari:M'Bala Nzola 1968 −8* for Paul Mendy 1875 +14*
- 81'Randal Kolo Muani 2274 −13* assist Kerim Alajbegovic 1982 0Juventus:Randal Kolo Muani 2274 −13* assist Kerim Alajbegovic 1982 0
- Alessandro Deiola 2042 −7*83'Cagliari:Alessandro Deiola 2042 −7*
- Jacopo Fazzini 1966 −7* for Adam Obert 2218 +984'Cagliari:Jacopo Fazzini 1966 −7* for Adam Obert 2218 +9
- 84'Teun Koopmeiners 2184 −1 for Douglas Luiz Soares 2276 −14*Juventus:Teun Koopmeiners 2184 −1 for Douglas Luiz Soares 2276 −14*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 16% · 23% · 61%(Cagliari · draw · Juventus)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cagliari €4.9M, Juventus €24.6M.
- Juventus were without 1 expected starter: M. Locatelli (2268).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Serie A): Cagliari ranked #17 of 20, Juventus #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cagliari
4th in Serie A · 12 pts from 5
- 19 SepWUdinese Serie A2014
- 12 SepWAtalanta Serie A1964
- 7 SepWLecce Serie A1940
- 3 SepLHellas Verona Italy Coppa Italia1800
- 30 AugLInter Serie A1951
Juventus
6th in Serie A · 10 pts from 5
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
- 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2223
- 13 SepLSassuolo Serie A2232
- 6 SepDAC Milan Serie A2249
- 29 AugWParma Serie A2257
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 12 /5 | 48.4 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 10th |
| Juventus | 10 /5 | 67.9 | 4% | 50% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cagliari · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2209
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2312
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cagliari: direct (how Fabio Pisacane plays) · Juventus: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Luciano Spalletti plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.